French legislative election, 2007
Encyclopedia
The French legislative elections took place on 10 June and 17 June 2007 to elect the 13th National Assembly of the Fifth Republic
, a few weeks after the French presidential election
run-off on 6 May. 7,639 candidates stood for 577 seats, including France's overseas possessions. Early first-round results projected a large majority for President
Nicolas Sarkozy
's UMP
and its allies; however, second-round results showed a closer race and a stronger left. Nevertheless, the right retained its majority from 2002 despite losing some 40 seats to the Socialists
.
Taking place so shortly after the presidential poll, these elections provided the newly elected president with a legislative majority in line with his political objectives – as was the case in 2002, when presidential victor Jacques Chirac
's UMP party received a large majority in the legislative elections
. It is the first time since the 1978 elections that the governing coalition has been returned after a second consecutive election. The majority, however, was slimmer than the "blue wave" predicted by opinion polls (blue being the colour of French conservatives).
systems. A candidate must take an absolute majority (more than 50%) in their constituency to win in the first round, and receive the support of at least 25% of all registered voters. Otherwise, if they get at least 12.5% of the votes of all registered voters in the first round, or are one of the top two candidates remaining, they go through to the second round, where only a simple plurality is needed to win.
In most cases, there are only two candidates remaining for the second round: one left-wing (generally from the Socialist Party
) and one right-wing (generally from the Union for a Popular Movement
). Triangulaires happen when a third candidate reaches the second round and refuses to either abandon his candidacy or to enter any form of electoral alliance. In 2007, only one constituency experienced a triangulaire in the second round (in which Jean Lassalle
, a MoDem
candidate, was elected).
The Constitutional Council had beforehand warned the government of the necessity to renew the electoral map, as the 577 electoral districts are made on the basis of the 1982 census of the population (thus being 25 years late on the current spread-out of the population). Because of this miscorrelation between the electoral map and the geographical map of the population, a deputy would need only 5,000 votes to be elected in some districts (such as in Saint-Barthélemy) while it would need 180,000 votes in others (such as the Seine-Saint-Denis
). The Constitutional Council noted that this contradicted article 6 of the 1789 Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen
as well as articles 3 and 24 of the Constitution
.
Opinion polls and seat projections gave President
Nicolas Sarkozy
's UMP-led coalition a wide lead, sometimes nearing three-quarters of all 577 seats. The UMP polled marginally above 40%, around a 10-point increase over its score of 33% in the first round of the 2002 elections. Prime Minister François Fillon
, also a candidate in Sarthe
, led the UMP campaign. On the far-right, following Jean-Marie Le Pen
's relatively low score in the presidential election, the National Front
tried to regain lost ground in the legislative election, but opinion polls gave the FN only 4 or 5 per cent of votes, one of its lowest scores in a general election.
's defeated 2007 presidential candidate, Ségolène Royal
, also campaigned on behalf of her party, even though she did not run for re-election as a deputy in Deux-Sèvres
. The Socialists sought to prevent the UMP from winning too wide a majority that would give Sarkozy "full powers".
leader François Bayrou
had announced the creation of a new political party, the Democratic Movement
(MoDem), and refused to continue the alliance between centerists and the UMP
. This strategy was dangerous for the centerist MPs, one month before the legislative election. Indeed, the ballot system for the election of the deputies favoured the coalitions to the detriment of the isolated parties. In this, contrary to Bayrou, the most part of the UDF
deputies and senators called to vote for Nicolas Sarkozy
in the second round of the presidential election, then joined the "Presidential Majority" and founded the New Centre
. Incumbent president of the UDF
group in the National Assembly
, Hervé Morin
led this new political formation and was nominated Defense Minister. For the first time, François Bayrou
was challenged by a right-wing candidate in his constituency.
Interest in one local election race surrounded Gérard Vignoble of the UDF, who had represented Roubaix
since 1988. Vignoble announced that he would not stand again since this would put him against cardiologist
Salem Kacet of the UMP, who had operated on him in 1999 and saved his life. The two candidates had become close friends. Vignoble said that it was impossible for him to come to any other decision. Nevertheless, Kacet still failed to take the seat, the winner being the Socialist Dominique Baert
.
hoped that their vote would hold up following their lowest percentage vote ever (1.93%) in the presidential race in May
. While polls seemed unfriendly to the Communists, with some predicting less than 10 seats for the party, the second round's left surge prevented a massive Communist defeat. Although losing seats, they were able to gain or hold 15 seats. However, the PCF lost previously safe seats.
called out to the Minister of Economy Jean-Louis Borloo
about the project of a new VAT
to finance the social security. Borloo confirmed it was examined by the government. This new tax was the main theme of campaign between the two rounds. It was criticized by the left because it could rise the prices for all the housekeepings. This project was perceived as contradictory to candidate Sarkozy's promise to be "President of the purchasing power". According to the former UMP
Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin
, in re-mobilizing the left-wing voters, this controversy caused the defeat of around 60 UMP candidates in the second round. In this, if the right stood majoritary, the left won 49 seats since 2002.
Accused to be responsible of this result, Jean-Louis Borloo was nominated Minister of Ecology, replacing Alain Juppé
, beatten in his constituency.
Contrary to the polls, the UMP lost ground, but it maintained a workable majority. The Socialists unexpectedly gained seats. Their plea to voters to prevent an overwhelming UMP dominance of the legislature appears to have paid off, providing the Socialists with a measure of redemption from the election loss. UDF splinter groups, François Bayrou's MoDem and the New Centre, contested their first elections. MoDem won 4 seats (including Mayotte
regionalist Abdoulatifou Aly
), while the New Centre was able to form a parliamentary group, with 22 seats. It remains to be seen whether Bayrou's party, which polled the third highest vote (7.61% in round one), will develop into a major political force. Their result is an improvement on the UDF's result of 4.9% in 2002. The National Front (FN) polled its lowest vote since its splash onto the political scene in 1986. The FN lost more than 60% of its support base since 2002. Support for the Communist Party also declined, and they saw a loss of several seats, whilst several other left-wing parties won nine new seats. The Greens gained one new seat, despite a fall in their vote. One the most stunning results was the surprise defeat of UMP party leader Alain Juppé
by the Socialist Party candidate Michèle Delaunay
. Culture Minister Renaud Donnedieu de Vabres
was defeated as well losing to Socialist Party candidate Jean-Patrick Gille
. The far right did not win any seats.
* Both formed from a split of the UDF, a traditionally centre-right party, in early 2007. The MoDems pursued a path of independence from the right-wing while the Nouveau Centre supported Nicolas Sarkozy (and was supported by the UMP).
French Fifth Republic
The Fifth Republic is the fifth and current republican constitution of France, introduced on 4 October 1958. The Fifth Republic emerged from the collapse of the French Fourth Republic, replacing the prior parliamentary government with a semi-presidential system...
, a few weeks after the French presidential election
French presidential election, 2007
The 2007 French presidential election, the ninth of the Fifth French Republic was held to elect the successor to Jacques Chirac as president of France for a five-year term.The winner, decided on 5 and 6 May 2007, was Nicolas Sarkozy...
run-off on 6 May. 7,639 candidates stood for 577 seats, including France's overseas possessions. Early first-round results projected a large majority for President
President of the French Republic
The President of the French Republic colloquially referred to in English as the President of France, is France's elected Head of State....
Nicolas Sarkozy
Nicolas Sarkozy
Nicolas Sarkozy is the 23rd and current President of the French Republic and ex officio Co-Prince of Andorra. He assumed the office on 16 May 2007 after defeating the Socialist Party candidate Ségolène Royal 10 days earlier....
's UMP
Union for a Popular Movement
The Union for a Popular Movement is a centre-right political party in France, and one of the two major contemporary political parties in the country along with the center-left Socialist Party...
and its allies; however, second-round results showed a closer race and a stronger left. Nevertheless, the right retained its majority from 2002 despite losing some 40 seats to the Socialists
Socialist Party (France)
The Socialist Party is a social-democratic political party in France and the largest party of the French centre-left. It is one of the two major contemporary political parties in France, along with the center-right Union for a Popular Movement...
.
Taking place so shortly after the presidential poll, these elections provided the newly elected president with a legislative majority in line with his political objectives – as was the case in 2002, when presidential victor Jacques Chirac
Jacques Chirac
Jacques René Chirac is a French politician who served as President of France from 1995 to 2007. He previously served as Prime Minister of France from 1974 to 1976 and from 1986 to 1988 , and as Mayor of Paris from 1977 to 1995.After completing his studies of the DEA's degree at the...
's UMP party received a large majority in the legislative elections
French legislative election, 2002
-12th Assembly by Parliamentary Group:...
. It is the first time since the 1978 elections that the governing coalition has been returned after a second consecutive election. The majority, however, was slimmer than the "blue wave" predicted by opinion polls (blue being the colour of French conservatives).
Election system
The procedure by which deputies are elected is a mixture of first past the post and run-offTwo-round system
The two-round system is a voting system used to elect a single winner where the voter casts a single vote for their chosen candidate...
systems. A candidate must take an absolute majority (more than 50%) in their constituency to win in the first round, and receive the support of at least 25% of all registered voters. Otherwise, if they get at least 12.5% of the votes of all registered voters in the first round, or are one of the top two candidates remaining, they go through to the second round, where only a simple plurality is needed to win.
In most cases, there are only two candidates remaining for the second round: one left-wing (generally from the Socialist Party
Socialist Party (France)
The Socialist Party is a social-democratic political party in France and the largest party of the French centre-left. It is one of the two major contemporary political parties in France, along with the center-right Union for a Popular Movement...
) and one right-wing (generally from the Union for a Popular Movement
Union for a Popular Movement
The Union for a Popular Movement is a centre-right political party in France, and one of the two major contemporary political parties in the country along with the center-left Socialist Party...
). Triangulaires happen when a third candidate reaches the second round and refuses to either abandon his candidacy or to enter any form of electoral alliance. In 2007, only one constituency experienced a triangulaire in the second round (in which Jean Lassalle
Jean Lassalle
Jean Lassalle is a French Occitan politician and MoDem deputy in the National Assembly.- Political career :...
, a MoDem
Democratic Movement (France)
The Democratic Movement , MoDem) is a centrist, social liberal and pro-European French political party that was founded by centrist politician François Bayrou to succeed his Union for French Democracy and to contest the 2007 legislative election, after his strong showing in the 2007 presidential...
candidate, was elected).
The Constitutional Council had beforehand warned the government of the necessity to renew the electoral map, as the 577 electoral districts are made on the basis of the 1982 census of the population (thus being 25 years late on the current spread-out of the population). Because of this miscorrelation between the electoral map and the geographical map of the population, a deputy would need only 5,000 votes to be elected in some districts (such as in Saint-Barthélemy) while it would need 180,000 votes in others (such as the Seine-Saint-Denis
Seine-Saint-Denis
- Culture :A number of hip hop artists come from the Seine-Saint-Denis, including one of the first major hip-hop groups in France, NTM, as well as Lord Kossity, or more recent acts such as Tandem or Sefyu.- Miscellaneous topics :...
). The Constitutional Council noted that this contradicted article 6 of the 1789 Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen
Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen
The Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen is a fundamental document of the French Revolution, defining the individual and collective rights of all the estates of the realm as universal. Influenced by the doctrine of "natural right", the rights of man are held to be universal: valid...
as well as articles 3 and 24 of the Constitution
Constitution of France
The current Constitution of France was adopted on 4 October 1958. It is typically called the Constitution of the Fifth Republic, and replaced that of the Fourth Republic dating from 1946. Charles de Gaulle was the main driving force in introducing the new constitution and inaugurating the Fifth...
.
Campaign
President of the French Republic
The President of the French Republic colloquially referred to in English as the President of France, is France's elected Head of State....
Nicolas Sarkozy
Nicolas Sarkozy
Nicolas Sarkozy is the 23rd and current President of the French Republic and ex officio Co-Prince of Andorra. He assumed the office on 16 May 2007 after defeating the Socialist Party candidate Ségolène Royal 10 days earlier....
's UMP-led coalition a wide lead, sometimes nearing three-quarters of all 577 seats. The UMP polled marginally above 40%, around a 10-point increase over its score of 33% in the first round of the 2002 elections. Prime Minister François Fillon
François Fillon
François Charles Armand Fillon is the Prime Minister of France. He was appointed to that office by President Nicolas Sarkozy on 17 May 2007. He served initially until 13 November 2010 when he resigned from being prime minister before a planned cabinet reshuffle.On 14 November 2010, Sarkozy...
, also a candidate in Sarthe
Sarthe
Sarthe is a French department, named after the Sarthe River.- History :The department was created during the French Revolution on March 4, 1790, pursuant to the law of December 22, 1789, starting from a part of the province of Maine which was divided into two departments, Sarthe to the east and...
, led the UMP campaign. On the far-right, following Jean-Marie Le Pen
Jean-Marie Le Pen
Jean-Marie Le Pen is a French far right-wing and nationalist politician who is founder and former president of the Front National party. Le Pen has run for the French presidency five times, most notably in 2002, when in a surprise upset he came second, polling more votes in the first round than...
's relatively low score in the presidential election, the National Front
Front National (France)
The National Front is a political party in France. The party was founded in 1972, seeking to unify a variety of French far-right currents of the time. Jean-Marie Le Pen was the party's first leader and the undisputed centre of the party from its start until his resignation in 2011...
tried to regain lost ground in the legislative election, but opinion polls gave the FN only 4 or 5 per cent of votes, one of its lowest scores in a general election.
Socialist Party
The Socialist PartySocialist Party (France)
The Socialist Party is a social-democratic political party in France and the largest party of the French centre-left. It is one of the two major contemporary political parties in France, along with the center-right Union for a Popular Movement...
's defeated 2007 presidential candidate, Ségolène Royal
Ségolène Royal
Marie-Ségolène Royal , known as Ségolène Royal, is a French politician. She is the president of the Poitou-Charentes Regional Council, a former member of the National Assembly, a former government minister, and a prominent member of the French Socialist Party...
, also campaigned on behalf of her party, even though she did not run for re-election as a deputy in Deux-Sèvres
Deux-Sèvres
Deux-Sèvres is a French département. Deux-Sèvres literally means "two Sèvres": the Sèvre Nantaise and the Sèvre Niortaise are two rivers which have their sources in the department.-History:...
. The Socialists sought to prevent the UMP from winning too wide a majority that would give Sarkozy "full powers".
Union for French Democracy
Between the two rounds of the presidential election, the UDFUnion for French Democracy
The Union for French Democracy was a French centrist political party. It was founded in 1978 as an electoral alliance to support President Valéry Giscard d'Estaing in order to counterbalance the Gaullist preponderance over the right. This name was chosen due to the title of Giscard d'Estaing's...
leader François Bayrou
François Bayrou
François Bayrou is a French centrist politician, president of Union for French Democracy since 1998 and was a candidate in the 2002 and 2007 French presidential elections. In the first round, he received 18.6% of the vote, finishing in 3rd place and therefore was eliminated from the race....
had announced the creation of a new political party, the Democratic Movement
Democratic Movement (France)
The Democratic Movement , MoDem) is a centrist, social liberal and pro-European French political party that was founded by centrist politician François Bayrou to succeed his Union for French Democracy and to contest the 2007 legislative election, after his strong showing in the 2007 presidential...
(MoDem), and refused to continue the alliance between centerists and the UMP
Union for a Popular Movement
The Union for a Popular Movement is a centre-right political party in France, and one of the two major contemporary political parties in the country along with the center-left Socialist Party...
. This strategy was dangerous for the centerist MPs, one month before the legislative election. Indeed, the ballot system for the election of the deputies favoured the coalitions to the detriment of the isolated parties. In this, contrary to Bayrou, the most part of the UDF
Union for French Democracy
The Union for French Democracy was a French centrist political party. It was founded in 1978 as an electoral alliance to support President Valéry Giscard d'Estaing in order to counterbalance the Gaullist preponderance over the right. This name was chosen due to the title of Giscard d'Estaing's...
deputies and senators called to vote for Nicolas Sarkozy
Nicolas Sarkozy
Nicolas Sarkozy is the 23rd and current President of the French Republic and ex officio Co-Prince of Andorra. He assumed the office on 16 May 2007 after defeating the Socialist Party candidate Ségolène Royal 10 days earlier....
in the second round of the presidential election, then joined the "Presidential Majority" and founded the New Centre
New Centre
New Centre , also known as the European Social Liberal Party is a centre-right political party in France, formed by the members of the Union for French Democracy – including a majority of former parliamentarians – who did not agree with François Bayrou's...
. Incumbent president of the UDF
Union for French Democracy
The Union for French Democracy was a French centrist political party. It was founded in 1978 as an electoral alliance to support President Valéry Giscard d'Estaing in order to counterbalance the Gaullist preponderance over the right. This name was chosen due to the title of Giscard d'Estaing's...
group in the National Assembly
French National Assembly
The French National Assembly is the lower house of the bicameral Parliament of France under the Fifth Republic. The upper house is the Senate ....
, Hervé Morin
Hervé Morin
Hervé Morin is a French politician, leader of the New Center party and a former French Minister of Defence.-Member of National Assembly:...
led this new political formation and was nominated Defense Minister. For the first time, François Bayrou
François Bayrou
François Bayrou is a French centrist politician, president of Union for French Democracy since 1998 and was a candidate in the 2002 and 2007 French presidential elections. In the first round, he received 18.6% of the vote, finishing in 3rd place and therefore was eliminated from the race....
was challenged by a right-wing candidate in his constituency.
Interest in one local election race surrounded Gérard Vignoble of the UDF, who had represented Roubaix
Roubaix
Roubaix is a commune in the Nord department in northern France. It is located between the cities of Lille and Tourcoing.The Gare de Roubaix railway station offers connections to Lille, Tourcoing, Antwerp, Ostend and Paris.-Culture:...
since 1988. Vignoble announced that he would not stand again since this would put him against cardiologist
Cardiology
Cardiology is a medical specialty dealing with disorders of the heart . The field includes diagnosis and treatment of congenital heart defects, coronary artery disease, heart failure, valvular heart disease and electrophysiology...
Salem Kacet of the UMP, who had operated on him in 1999 and saved his life. The two candidates had become close friends. Vignoble said that it was impossible for him to come to any other decision. Nevertheless, Kacet still failed to take the seat, the winner being the Socialist Dominique Baert
Dominique Baert
Dominique Baert is a member of the National Assembly of France. He represents the Nord department, and is a member of the Socialiste, radical, citoyen et divers gauche.-References:...
.
French Communist Party
The CommunistsFrench Communist Party
The French Communist Party is a political party in France which advocates the principles of communism.Although its electoral support has declined in recent decades, the PCF retains a large membership, behind only that of the Union for a Popular Movement , and considerable influence in French...
hoped that their vote would hold up following their lowest percentage vote ever (1.93%) in the presidential race in May
French presidential election, 2007
The 2007 French presidential election, the ninth of the Fifth French Republic was held to elect the successor to Jacques Chirac as president of France for a five-year term.The winner, decided on 5 and 6 May 2007, was Nicolas Sarkozy...
. While polls seemed unfriendly to the Communists, with some predicting less than 10 seats for the party, the second round's left surge prevented a massive Communist defeat. Although losing seats, they were able to gain or hold 15 seats. However, the PCF lost previously safe seats.
VAT Polemic
During the electoral TV programme of the first round, the former Socialist Prime Minister Laurent FabiusLaurent Fabius
Laurent Fabius is a French Socialist politician. He served as Prime Minister from 17 July 1984 to 20 March 1986. He was 37 years old when he was appointed and is, so far, the youngest Prime Minister of the Fifth Republic.-Early life:...
called out to the Minister of Economy Jean-Louis Borloo
Jean-Louis Borloo
Jean-Louis Borloo is a French politician, and was the French Minister for Ecology, Energy, Sustainable Development and Town and Country Planning between 2007 and 2010.-Professional résumé:Education...
about the project of a new VAT
Vat
Vat or VAT may refer to:* A type of container such as a barrel, storage tank, or tub, often constructed of welded sheet stainless steel, and used for holding, storing, and processing liquids such as milk, wine, and beer...
to finance the social security. Borloo confirmed it was examined by the government. This new tax was the main theme of campaign between the two rounds. It was criticized by the left because it could rise the prices for all the housekeepings. This project was perceived as contradictory to candidate Sarkozy's promise to be "President of the purchasing power". According to the former UMP
Union for a Popular Movement
The Union for a Popular Movement is a centre-right political party in France, and one of the two major contemporary political parties in the country along with the center-left Socialist Party...
Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin
Jean-Pierre Raffarin
Jean-Pierre Raffarin is a French conservative politician and senator for Vienne.Jean-Pierre Raffarin served as the Prime Minister of France from 6 May 2002 to 31 May 2005, resigning after France's rejection of the referendum on the European Union draft constitution. However, after Raffarin...
, in re-mobilizing the left-wing voters, this controversy caused the defeat of around 60 UMP candidates in the second round. In this, if the right stood majoritary, the left won 49 seats since 2002.
Accused to be responsible of this result, Jean-Louis Borloo was nominated Minister of Ecology, replacing Alain Juppé
Alain Juppé
Alain Marie Juppé is a French politician currently serving as the Minister of Foreign Affairs. He also served as Prime Minister of France from 1995 to 1997 under President Jacques Chirac and the Minister of Defence and Veterans Affairs from 2010 to 2011...
, beatten in his constituency.
Results
Mayotte
Mayotte is an overseas department and region of France consisting of a main island, Grande-Terre , a smaller island, Petite-Terre , and several islets around these two. The archipelago is located in the northern Mozambique Channel in the Indian Ocean, namely between northwestern Madagascar and...
regionalist Abdoulatifou Aly
Abdoulatifou Aly
Abdoulatifou Aly is a member of the National Assembly of France. He represents the island of Mayotte, and is a member of the Democratic Movement nationally, but is a member of the Mahoran Departmentalist Movement in Mayotte.Aly campaigned strongly for the "Yes" result in the...
), while the New Centre was able to form a parliamentary group, with 22 seats. It remains to be seen whether Bayrou's party, which polled the third highest vote (7.61% in round one), will develop into a major political force. Their result is an improvement on the UDF's result of 4.9% in 2002. The National Front (FN) polled its lowest vote since its splash onto the political scene in 1986. The FN lost more than 60% of its support base since 2002. Support for the Communist Party also declined, and they saw a loss of several seats, whilst several other left-wing parties won nine new seats. The Greens gained one new seat, despite a fall in their vote. One the most stunning results was the surprise defeat of UMP party leader Alain Juppé
Alain Juppé
Alain Marie Juppé is a French politician currently serving as the Minister of Foreign Affairs. He also served as Prime Minister of France from 1995 to 1997 under President Jacques Chirac and the Minister of Defence and Veterans Affairs from 2010 to 2011...
by the Socialist Party candidate Michèle Delaunay
Michèle Delaunay
Michèle Delaunay is a member of the National Assembly of France. She represents the 2nd constituency, and is a member of the Socialist Party....
. Culture Minister Renaud Donnedieu de Vabres
Renaud Donnedieu de Vabres
Renaud Donnedieu de Vabres , often known as RDDV, is a French politician, France's Minister of Culture from 2004 to 2007...
was defeated as well losing to Socialist Party candidate Jean-Patrick Gille
Jean-Patrick Gille
Jean-Patrick Gille is a member of the National Assembly of France. He represents the Indre-et-Loire department, and is a member of the Socialiste, radical, citoyen et divers gauche.-References:...
. The far right did not win any seats.
Change since 2002
| Party | +/- % | +/- Seats R1 | +/- Overall seats | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMP | ||||
| UDF-MD* | ||||
| UDF-NC* | ||||
| Others | ±0 | |||
| Miscellaneous Left | ±0 | |||
| LO-LCR | ±0 | ±0 | ||
| PS | ±0 | |||
| MPF | ±0 | |||
| Regionalists | ±0 | |||
| PRG | ±0 | ±0 | ||
| Ecologists | ±0 | ±0 | ||
| PCF | ±0 | |||
| CPNT | ±0 | ±0 | ||
| Miscellan. Right | ||||
| Far-right | ±0 | ±0 | ||
| Greens | ±0 | |||
| ±0 | ±0 | |||
13th Assembly by Parliamentary Group
| Group | Leader | Parties | Seats | Caucusing | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMP Union for a Popular Movement The Union for a Popular Movement is a centre-right political party in France, and one of the two major contemporary political parties in the country along with the center-left Socialist Party... Group (Union pour un Mouvement Populaire) |
Jean-François Cope Jean-François Copé Jean-François Copé , is a French politician. He is currently Mayor of Meaux, Deputy for the 6th constituency of Seine-et-Marne, and acts as President of the Union for a Popular Movement Group in the French National Assembly... |
UMP, DVD | 314 | 6 | 320 | |
| Socialist Socialist Party (France) The Socialist Party is a social-democratic political party in France and the largest party of the French centre-left. It is one of the two major contemporary political parties in France, along with the center-right Union for a Popular Movement... , Radical Left Radical Party The Radical Party of the Left is a minor social-liberal, and in opposition to its common understanding of its name, a moderate centre-left political party in France advocating radicalism, secularism to its french extend known as laïcité, progressivism, pro-Europeanism, individual freedom and... , and Citizen Citizen and Republican Movement The Citizen and Republican Movement is a political party in France. The party replaced, in 2002, the Citizens' Movement founded by Jean-Pierre Chevènement, who left the Socialist Party in 1993 due to his opposition to the Persian Gulf War and to the Maastricht Treaty... Group (Groupe socialiste, radical, et citoyen) |
Jean-Marc Ayrault Jean-Marc Ayrault Jean-Marc Ayrault is a French politician and a member of the French Socialist Party. He is currently Mayor of Nantes and President of the Socialist Party group in the French National Assembly.... |
PS, PRG, DVG, MRC | 186 | 18 | 204 | |
| Democratic and Republican Left Gauche démocrate et républicaine The Democratic and Republican Left is a French parliamentary group in the 13th Assembly elected in 2007.This is the first time since the 1958-1962 legislature that the Communists have been unable to form an exclusive group of Communist deputies.... (Gauche démocrate et républicaine) |
Jean-Claude Sandrier Jean-Claude Sandrier Jean-Claude Sandrier is a French politician and former Mayor of Bourges. He is a member of the French Communist Party.... |
PCF, VEC, DVG, MIM | 24 | 0 | 24 | |
| New Centre-Presidential Majority (Nouveau Centre-Majorité Présidentielle) | François Sauvadet François Sauvadet François Sauvadet is the president of the Côte-d'Or department and the parliamentary leader of the New Centre. He is a member of the New Centre. He represents the 4th constituency of the Cote-d'Or inthe French National Assembly.... |
NC-PSLE, MAJ, DVD | 20 | 3 | 23 | |
| Non-Inscrits | MoDem, DLR, MPF | 6 | 0 | 6 | ||
| Total: | 551 | 26 | 577 | |||
Opinion polls
| Party | Results 2002 French legislative election, 2002 -12th Assembly by Parliamentary Group:... |
CSA 06/05 |
Ifop 11/05 |
Ipsos 15/05 |
BVA 15/05 |
TNS 21/05 |
Ispos 23/05 |
BVA 24/05 |
CSA 24/05 |
Ipsos 25/05 |
Ifop 25/05 |
Ipsos 26/05 |
Ipsos 28/05 |
Ispos 29/05 |
TNS 29/05 |
Ipsos 30/05 |
Ipsos 31/05 |
Ipsos 01/06 |
Ipsos 02/06 |
Ipsos 04/06 |
Ipsos 05/06 |
BVA 07/06 |
Ipsos 08/06 |
TNS 08/06 |
CSA 08/06 |
Ipsos 09/06 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMP-NC | 35.0% | 37.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | 42.0% | 37.0% | 43.5% | 41.0% | 43.0% | 43.5% | 43.0% | 42.0% | 43.5% | 43.5% | 43.5% | 43.0% | 42.5% | 41.5% | 42.0% | 43.0% | 41.5% | 41.0% | 41.5% | ||
| PS | 30.0% | 28.0% | 28.0% | 30.0% | 28.0% | 29.0% | 30.0% | 26.0% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 28.0% | 28.5% | 29.5% | 27.0% | 29.5% | 29.5% | 29.5% | 29.0% | 29.0% | 29.0% | 28.0% | 28.0% | 29.5% | 28.0% | 29.5% | ||
| UDF-MD | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | ||
| FN | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | ||
| PCF | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | ||
| Greens | 1.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | ||
| LO-LCR | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | ||
| Others | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | ||
Seat projections
| Party | Results 2002 French legislative election, 2002 -12th Assembly by Parliamentary Group:... |
Ifop 15/05 |
BVA 18/05 |
TNS 21/05 |
CSA 29/05 |
Ipsos 29/05 |
Ifop 30/05 |
TNS 30/05 |
Ifop 02/06 |
Ipsos 06/06 |
BVA 07/06 |
TNS 08/06 |
CSA 08/06 |
Ipsos 09/06 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMP-NC | 357 | 336–390 | 321–392 | 365–415 | 353–407 | 401–442 | 410–450 | 410–430 | 420–460 | 361–406 | 366–419 | 390–430 | 390–420 | 364–404 | |
| PS | 141 | 149–190 | 151–200 | 137–153 | 132–182 | 102–142 | 90–130 | 101–142 | 80–120 | 115–158 | 120–173 | 115–155 | 110–154 | 114–162 | |
| PCF | 21 | 9–13 | 14–21 | 2–9 | 6–14 | 6–12 | 6–10 | 4–10 | 9–15 | 5–10 | 6–14 | 4–10 | 4–14 | 5–10 | |
| UDF-MD | 29 | 0–8 | 0–4 | 2–10 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 0–6 | 2–6 | 0–4 | 1–6 | 1–4 | 2–6 | 1–6 | 2–6 | |
| MPF | 1 | 0–2 | N/A | 2–3 | 2–3 | N/A | 2 | 2–3 | 2 | N/A | 0–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | N/A | |
| Greens | 3 | 0–4 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–4 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 1–3 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–2 | |
| FN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| LO-LCR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Others | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21–24(NC) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21–24(NC) | |
2nd round
| Party | Results 2002 French legislative election, 2002 -12th Assembly by Parliamentary Group:... |
Ipsos 13/06 |
BVA 14/06 |
TNS 14/06 |
Ipsos 16/06 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMP | 357 | 388–422 | 394–434 | 380–410 | 358–395 | |
| NC | 0 | 20–23 | N/A | 21–23 | 20–23 | |
| PS | 141 | 115–146 | 105–131 | 125–155 | 140–175 | |
| PCF | 21 | 8–15 | 10–16 | 10–15 | 11–16 | |
| UDF-MD | 29 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–2 | 2–3 | |
| MPF | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Greens | 3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 2–4 | |
| FN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| LO-LCR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Others | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |