Error correction model
Encyclopedia
An error correction model is a dynamical system
Dynamical system
A dynamical system is a concept in mathematics where a fixed rule describes the time dependence of a point in a geometrical space. Examples include the mathematical models that describe the swinging of a clock pendulum, the flow of water in a pipe, and the number of fish each springtime in a...

 with the characteristics that the deviation of the current state from its long-run relationship will be fed into its short-run dynamics.

An error correction model is not a model that corrects the error in another model.

Long-run relationship

A rough long-run relationship can be determined by the cointegration
Cointegration
Cointegration is a statistical property of time series variables. Two or more time series are cointegrated if they share a common stochastic drift.-Introduction:...

 vector, and then this relationship can be utilized to develop a refined dynamic model which can have a focus on long-run or transitory aspect such as the two VECM of a usual VAR in Johansen test
Johansen test
In statistics, the Johansen test, named after Søren Johansen, is a procedure for testing cointegration of several I time series. This test permits more than one cointegrating relationship so is more generally applicable than the Engle–Granger test which is based on the Dickey–Fuller test for...

.

VECM

A vector error correction model (VECM) adds error correction features to a multi-factor model such as a vector autoregression
Vector autoregression
Vector autoregression is a statistical model used to capture the linear interdependencies among multiple time series. VAR models generalize the univariate autoregression models. All the variables in a VAR are treated symmetrically; each variable has an equation explaining its evolution based on...

model.

Other sources

Davidson, J.E.H., D.F. Hendry, F. Srba, and J.S. Yeo (1978). Econometric modelling of the aggregate time-series relationship between consumers' expenditure and income in the United Kingdom. Economic Journal, 88, 661-692.

External links

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