Republic of China municipal elections, 2010
Encyclopedia
Poll source Date of completion Hau Lung-pin Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party. He is the former Premier of the Republic of China. Su actively campaigned for the Presidential nomination of the DPP, but finished second to Frank Hsieh in the nomination process...

Undecided
TVBS May 26, 2010 46% 41% 14%
Era Television June 11, 2010 39.3% 41.0% 19.6%
Era Television June 22, 2010 41.8% 37.7% 20.5%
China Times July 15, 2010 42.9% 38.5% 18.7%
TVBS July 20, 2010 44% 41% 15%
I-tel Research August 19, 2010 58.33% 41.67%
TVBS August 25, 2010 45% 42% 12%
Apple Daily August 29, 2010 43.12% 44.68% 12.20%
I-tel Research September 1, 2010 44.55% 55.45%
TVBS September 8, 2010 42% 45% 13%
China Times September 17, 2010 39.0% 41.2% 19.8%
I-tel Research September 20, 2010 52.94% 47.06%
United Daily News September 26, 2010 41% 33% 26%
Apple Daily October 3, 2010 47.52% 35.64% 16.84%
TVBS October 6, 2010 43% 42% 15%
Shih Hsin University October 12, 2010 33.2% 30.1% 36.7%
Liberty Times October 21, 2010 36.84% 37.45% 25.71%
United Daily News October 24, 2010 48% 37% 15%
TVBS October 27, 2010 46% 40% 14%
China Times November 3, 2010 42.7% 42.1% 15.2%
Wealth Magazine November 7, 2010 37.2% 38.5% 24.3%
Shih Hsin University November 8, 2010 33.4% 33.0% 33.6%
Democratic Progressive Party November 10, 2010 39.3% 40.8% 19.9%
TVBS November 11, 2010 49% 39% 12%
China Times November 14, 2010 47.3% 39.6% 13.2%

Predictions

Source Date of release Voter turnout Hau Lung-pin Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party. He is the former Premier of the Republic of China. Su actively campaigned for the Presidential nomination of the DPP, but finished second to Frank Hsieh in the nomination process...

TVBS August 25, 2010 66% 51% 49%
TVBS September 8, 2010 67% 48% 52%
I-tel Research October 4, 2010 50.59% 49.41%
United Daily News October 24, 2010 49% 51%
TVBS October 27, 2010 68% 50.3% 49.7%
TVBS November 11, 2010 68% 53% 47%
Global Views November 27, 2010 68% 50.6% 48.5%

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party # Candidate Votes Percentage
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

2 Hau Lung-pin (郝龍斌) 797,865 55.65%
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

5 Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party. He is the former Premier of the Republic of China. Su actively campaigned for the Presidential nomination of the DPP, but finished second to Frank Hsieh in the nomination process...

 (蘇貞昌)
628,129 43.81%
Independent 4 Francis Wu (吳武明) 3,672 0.26%
Independent 3 Helen Hsiao (蕭淑華) 2,238 0.16%
Independent 1 Wu Yen-cheng (吳炎成) 1,832 0.13%
Total 1,433,736 100.00%
Voter turnout 70.65%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

637,255 44.93% 31
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

516,140 36.39% 23
New Party
New Party
New Party may refer to:* New Party * New Party Corrientes * New Party Japan* New Party * New Party * New Party - the party of Oswald Mosley...

74,116 5.23% 3
People First Party 65,550 4.62% 2
Taiwan Solidarity Union
Taiwan Solidarity Union
The Taiwan Solidarity Union is a political party in the Republic of China which advocates Taiwan independence. It was officially founded on July 24, 2001 and is considered part of the Pan-Green Coalition. Unlike the Democratic Progressive Party, its larger companion party in the Pan-Green...

36,302 2.56% 1
Green Party Taiwan
Green Party Taiwan
The Green Party Taiwan is a political party in Taiwan established on 25 January 1996. The party is not a member of, and should not be confused with, the Pan-Green Coalition. As its name suggests, the Green Party Taiwan focuses on environmental issues...

16,329 1.15% 0
Taiwan Constitution Association
Taiwan Constitution Association
The Taiwan Constitution Association is a Taiwanese political party....

188 0.01% 0
Independent 72,455 5.11% 2
Total 1,418,335 100.00% 62
Voter turnout 70.65%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

648,243 48.63% 247
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

105,465 7.91% 41
Green Party Taiwan
Green Party Taiwan
The Green Party Taiwan is a political party in Taiwan established on 25 January 1996. The party is not a member of, and should not be confused with, the Pan-Green Coalition. As its name suggests, the Green Party Taiwan focuses on environmental issues...

964 0.07% 0
Independent 578,227 43.38% 168
Total 1,332,899 100.00% 456
Voter turnout 70.72%

Electoral background

New Taipei (formerly Taipei County
Taipei County
New Taipei City is the most populous city of Taiwan. The area includes a substantial stretch of Taiwan's northern coastline and surrounds the Taipei Basin...

) was promoted into a central municipality, and replaced Taipei City
Taipei
Taipei City is the capital of the Republic of China and the central city of the largest metropolitan area of Taiwan. Situated at the northern tip of the island, Taipei is located on the Tamsui River, and is about 25 km southwest of Keelung, its port on the Pacific Ocean...

 as the largest city of Taiwan
Taiwan
Taiwan , also known, especially in the past, as Formosa , is the largest island of the same-named island group of East Asia in the western Pacific Ocean and located off the southeastern coast of mainland China. The island forms over 99% of the current territory of the Republic of China following...

. Taipei County
Taipei County
New Taipei City is the most populous city of Taiwan. The area includes a substantial stretch of Taiwan's northern coastline and surrounds the Taipei Basin...

 was under the administration of the Kuomintang
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

, with the incumbent Taipei County Magistrate Chou Hsi-wei
Chou Hsi-wei
Chou Hsi-wei is a former Taipei County magistrate in Taiwan. He was formerly a member of the People's First Party, but switched allegiance to the Kuomintang shortly before the county chief elections. He previously served as a legislator in the Legislative Yuan of the Republic of China.-Notes:...

 serving as mayor. However, unlike Taipei City
Taipei
Taipei City is the capital of the Republic of China and the central city of the largest metropolitan area of Taiwan. Situated at the northern tip of the island, Taipei is located on the Tamsui River, and is about 25 km southwest of Keelung, its port on the Pacific Ocean...

, which is solidly in the Pan-Blue political camp, the electoral composition of Taipei County
Taipei County
New Taipei City is the most populous city of Taiwan. The area includes a substantial stretch of Taiwan's northern coastline and surrounds the Taipei Basin...

 is more evenly distributed between Pan-Blue and Pan-Green Coalition
Pan-Green Coalition
The Pan-Green Coalition or Pan-Green Camp, is an informal political alliance of the Republic of China, commonly known as "Taiwan", consisting of the Democratic Progressive Party , Taiwan Solidarity Union , and the minor Taiwan Independence Party...

 supporters, with only a very slight overall inclination towards the Pan-Blue political camp. It should also be noted that Taipei County
Taipei County
New Taipei City is the most populous city of Taiwan. The area includes a substantial stretch of Taiwan's northern coastline and surrounds the Taipei Basin...

 had previously been under the administration of the Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

 for 16 years, until the incumbent County Magistrate Chou Hsi-wei
Chou Hsi-wei
Chou Hsi-wei is a former Taipei County magistrate in Taiwan. He was formerly a member of the People's First Party, but switched allegiance to the Kuomintang shortly before the county chief elections. He previously served as a legislator in the Legislative Yuan of the Republic of China.-Notes:...

 won power 5 years ago.

Results of Past Taipei County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1989 You Ching
You Ching
You Ching is the Republic of China representative to Germany. A practicing lawyer since 1978, he obtained his bachelor's degree in law from the National Chengchi University in 1965 and his doctorate from the University of Heidelberg in 1978...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

1993 You Ching
You Ching
You Ching is the Republic of China representative to Germany. A practicing lawyer since 1978, he obtained his bachelor's degree in law from the National Chengchi University in 1965 and his doctorate from the University of Heidelberg in 1978...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

1997 Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party. He is the former Premier of the Republic of China. Su actively campaigned for the Presidential nomination of the DPP, but finished second to Frank Hsieh in the nomination process...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2001 Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang
Su Tseng-chang is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party. He is the former Premier of the Republic of China. Su actively campaigned for the Presidential nomination of the DPP, but finished second to Frank Hsieh in the nomination process...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2005 Chou Hsi-wei
Chou Hsi-wei
Chou Hsi-wei is a former Taipei County magistrate in Taiwan. He was formerly a member of the People's First Party, but switched allegiance to the Kuomintang shortly before the county chief elections. He previously served as a legislator in the Legislative Yuan of the Republic of China.-Notes:...

Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...






Polling

Poll source Date of completion Eric Chu Li-luan Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen is the current chairperson of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan. Studying in Taiwan, the U.S and the U.K. Tsai earned an LL.B. from National Taiwan University, an LL.M. from Cornell University Law School and a Ph.D. from the London School of Economics....

Undecided
China Times May 24, 2010 33.0% 28.2% 38.7%
TVBS May 24, 2010 43% 44% 14%
TVBS July 16, 2010 46% 40% 14%
China Times July 17, 2010 39.2% 39.8% 21.0%
Era Television July 21, 2010 41.1% 36.2% 22.7%
Democratic Progressive Party August , 201019 44.2% 44.1% 11.7%
TVBS August 23, 2010 47% 40% 13%
I-tel Research August 23, 2010 45% 55%
I-tel Research September 7, 2010 43.9% 56.1%
Apple Daily September 11, 2010 47.04% 39.08% 13.88%
China Times September 17, 2010 42.1% 38.1% 19.8%
Democratic Progressive Party September , 201023 44.4% 43.5% 12.1%
United Daily News September 27, 2010 45% 28% 26%
I-tel Research September 28, 2010 55.63% 44.38%
Apple Daily October 4, 2010 48.49% 35.13% 16.38%
TVBS October 5, 2010 47% 35% 17%
Democratic Progressive Party October , 20107 43.1% 43.5% 13.4%
Citizen's Association of Taiwan October 8, 2010 37.9% 35.3% 26.8%
Shih Hsin University October 10, 2010 35.3% 31.3% 33.4%
China Times October 17, 2010 43% 34% 23%
Liberty Times October 19, 2010 35.81% 34.00% 30.19%
United Daily News October 27, 2010 45% 37% 18%
TVBS October 29, 2010 44% 40% 16%
China Times November 2, 2010 44% 38% 18%
Liberty Times November , 20102 35.82% 38.49% 25.69%
Wealth Magazine November 5, 2010 39.3% 34.3% 26.4%
Decision Making Research November 6, 2010 39.9% 37.2% 22.9%
Shih Hsin University November 7, 2010 33.5% 30.4% 36.1%
China Times November 8, 2010 45.6% 41.6% 12.8%
TVBS November 9, 2010 45% 38% 17%
Democratic Progressive Party November 12, 2010 40.3% 39.1% 20.6%
Liberty Times November 12, 2010 38.81% 39.29% 21.90%

Predictions

Source Date of release Voter turnout Eric Chu Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen is the current chairperson of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan. Studying in Taiwan, the U.S and the U.K. Tsai earned an LL.B. from National Taiwan University, an LL.M. from Cornell University Law School and a Ph.D. from the London School of Economics....

TVBS August 23, 2010 69% 53% 47%
I-tel Research October 4, 2010 49.56% 50.44%
United Daily News October 27, 2010 55% 45%
TVBS October 29, 2010 71% 51% 49%
TVBS November 9, 2010 71% 51% 49%
Global Views November 27, 2010 69.1% 48.9% 51.1%

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party # Candidate Votes Percentage
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1 Eric Chu Li-luan (朱立倫) 1,115,536 52.61%
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2 Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen is the current chairperson of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan. Studying in Taiwan, the U.S and the U.K. Tsai earned an LL.B. from National Taiwan University, an LL.M. from Cornell University Law School and a Ph.D. from the London School of Economics....

 (蔡英文)
1,004,900 47.39%
Total 2,120,436 100.00%
Voter turnout 71.25%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

831,590 39.74% 30
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

724,807 34.64% 28
People First Party 40,755 1.95% 0
New Party
New Party
New Party may refer to:* New Party * New Party Corrientes * New Party Japan* New Party * New Party * New Party - the party of Oswald Mosley...

18,807 0.90% 0
Taiwan Solidarity Union
Taiwan Solidarity Union
The Taiwan Solidarity Union is a political party in the Republic of China which advocates Taiwan independence. It was officially founded on July 24, 2001 and is considered part of the Pan-Green Coalition. Unlike the Democratic Progressive Party, its larger companion party in the Pan-Green...

33,789 1.61% 0
Green Party Taiwan
Green Party Taiwan
The Green Party Taiwan is a political party in Taiwan established on 25 January 1996. The party is not a member of, and should not be confused with, the Pan-Green Coalition. As its name suggests, the Green Party Taiwan focuses on environmental issues...

8,321 0.40% 0
Independent 434,368 20.76% 8
Total 2,092,437 100.00% 66
Voter turnout 71.29%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

645,761 32.68% 354
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

75,790 3.84% 25
Chinese Reunification Party 1,912 0.10% 1
People First Party 208 0.01% 0
Independent 1,252,189 63.37% 652
Total 1,975,860 100.00% 1,032
Voter turnout 71.45%

Electoral background

Results of Past Taichung County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1989 Liao Liou-yi Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1993 Liao Liou-yi Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1997 Liao Yung-lai Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2001 Huang Chung-sheng Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

2005 Huang Chung-sheng Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...




Results of Past Taichung City Mayoral Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1989 Lin Po-jung Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1993 Lin Po-jung Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1997 Chang Wen-ying Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2001 Jason Hu Chih-chiang
Jason Hu
Jason Hu Chih-chiang is a former official in the national government of Republic of China. He is currently serving his second term as mayor of the central Taiwan city of Taichung. His current term ends in early 2010 and he is currently running for re-election as mayor of the new Taichung...

Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

2005 Jason Hu Chih-chiang
Jason Hu
Jason Hu Chih-chiang is a former official in the national government of Republic of China. He is currently serving his second term as mayor of the central Taiwan city of Taichung. His current term ends in early 2010 and he is currently running for re-election as mayor of the new Taichung...

Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...





The newly created central municipality Taichung
Taichung
-Demographics:Taichung’s population was an estimated 1,040,725 in August 2006. There are slightly more females in the city than males.24.32% of residents are children, while 16.63% are young people, 52.68% are middle-age, and 6.73% are elderly....

 will be formed from the merging and elevation of Taichung County
Taichung County
Taichung County was a county in central Taiwan, the Republic of China, that surrounded but did not include Taichung City. The name Taichung means "central Taiwan"...

 and Taichung City
Taichung
-Demographics:Taichung’s population was an estimated 1,040,725 in August 2006. There are slightly more females in the city than males.24.32% of residents are children, while 16.63% are young people, 52.68% are middle-age, and 6.73% are elderly....

, both of which are currently county-level divisions of Taiwan
Taiwan
Taiwan , also known, especially in the past, as Formosa , is the largest island of the same-named island group of East Asia in the western Pacific Ocean and located off the southeastern coast of mainland China. The island forms over 99% of the current territory of the Republic of China following...

. At present, both Taichung County
Taichung County
Taichung County was a county in central Taiwan, the Republic of China, that surrounded but did not include Taichung City. The name Taichung means "central Taiwan"...

 and Taichung
Taichung
-Demographics:Taichung’s population was an estimated 1,040,725 in August 2006. There are slightly more females in the city than males.24.32% of residents are children, while 16.63% are young people, 52.68% are middle-age, and 6.73% are elderly....

 are under the administration of the Kuomintang
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

, with the incumbent Taichung County Magistrate being Huang Chung-sheng and the incumbent Taichung City Mayor being Jason Hu Chih-chiang
Jason Hu
Jason Hu Chih-chiang is a former official in the national government of Republic of China. He is currently serving his second term as mayor of the central Taiwan city of Taichung. His current term ends in early 2010 and he is currently running for re-election as mayor of the new Taichung...

. The electoral composition of Taichung County
Taichung County
Taichung County was a county in central Taiwan, the Republic of China, that surrounded but did not include Taichung City. The name Taichung means "central Taiwan"...

 is relatively balanced with only a slight overall inclination towards the Pan-Blue political camp, whereas Taichung City
Taichung
-Demographics:Taichung’s population was an estimated 1,040,725 in August 2006. There are slightly more females in the city than males.24.32% of residents are children, while 16.63% are young people, 52.68% are middle-age, and 6.73% are elderly....

 is commonly considered to be mildly leaning towards the Pan-Blue political camp. It is estimated that in Taichung County
Taichung County
Taichung County was a county in central Taiwan, the Republic of China, that surrounded but did not include Taichung City. The name Taichung means "central Taiwan"...

, approximately 52% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Blue Coalition
Pan-Blue Coalition
The Pan-Blue Coalition 泛藍聯盟 or Pan-Blue Force is a political alliance in the Republic of China , consisting of the Kuomintang , the People First Party , and the New Party . The name comes from the party colours of the Kuomintang...

, whilst 48% support the Pan-Green Coalition
Pan-Green Coalition
The Pan-Green Coalition or Pan-Green Camp, is an informal political alliance of the Republic of China, commonly known as "Taiwan", consisting of the Democratic Progressive Party , Taiwan Solidarity Union , and the minor Taiwan Independence Party...

. In Taichung City, the proportion of Pan-Blue to Pan-Green supporters within voters who identify themselves with political inclination is approximately 55% to 45%.

Polling

Poll source Date of completion Jason Hu Chih-chiang
Jason Hu
Jason Hu Chih-chiang is a former official in the national government of Republic of China. He is currently serving his second term as mayor of the central Taiwan city of Taichung. His current term ends in early 2010 and he is currently running for re-election as mayor of the new Taichung...

Su Jia-chyuan
Su Jia-chyuan
Su Jia-chyuan is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party . Currently the Secretary-General of the DPP, Su was formerly a legislator and later Pingtung County Commissioner, and held national posts as Minister of the Interior and Minister of Agriculture. In 2010 he narrowly lost...

Undecided
Apple Daily May 24, 2010 53.40% 35.39% 11.21%
TVBS May 25, 2010 57% 26% 17%
United Daily News June 4, 2010 46% 24% 30%
Liberty Times June 9, 2010 35.59% 28.71% 29.67%
Era Television July 6, 2010 44.6% 32.5% 22.9%
TVBS July 2, 20102 51% 31% 19%
Era Television July 27, 2010 43.5% 30.7% 25.8%
I-tel Research August 26, 2010 62% 38%
TVBS August 27, 2010 51% 30% 19%
I-tel Research September 9, 2010 52.25% 47.75%
Democratic Progressive Party September 15, 2010 45% 36% 19%
China Times September 19, 2010 41% 35% 25%
Apple Daily September 26, 2010 51.82% 36.26% 11.92%
United Daily News September 28, 2010 43% 25% 29%
Democratic Progressive Party September 29, 2010 46.4% 33.3% 20.3%
I-tel Research September 29, 2010 59.57% 40.43%
TVBS October 12, 2010 47% 34% 18%
Shih Hsin University October 12, 2010 37.9% 22.2% 39.9%
Democratic Progressive Party October 13, 2010 45.7% 35.3% 19.0%
United Daily News October 27, 2010 49% 31% 20%
Democratic Progressive Party October 27, 2010 40.5% 35.4% 24.1%
China Times October31 , 2010 43% 33% 23%
Liberty Times November 5, 2010 34.85% 30.04% 35.11%
Democratic Progressive Party November 6, 2010 40.1% 35.1% 24.8%
Shih Hsin University November 9, 2010 36.3% 26.5% 37.2%
China Times November 12, 2010 47.1% 40.1% 12.8%
Beterly Research November 15, 2010 28.9% 29.2% 41.9%

Predictions

Source Date of release Voter turnout Jason Hu Chih-chiang
Jason Hu
Jason Hu Chih-chiang is a former official in the national government of Republic of China. He is currently serving his second term as mayor of the central Taiwan city of Taichung. His current term ends in early 2010 and he is currently running for re-election as mayor of the new Taichung...

Su Jia-chyuan
Su Jia-chyuan
Su Jia-chyuan is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party . Currently the Secretary-General of the DPP, Su was formerly a legislator and later Pingtung County Commissioner, and held national posts as Minister of the Interior and Minister of Agriculture. In 2010 he narrowly lost...

TVBS August 27, 2010 65% 58% 42%
I-tel Research October 4, 2010 57.28% 42.72%
United Daily News October 27, 2010 56% 44%
Global Views November 27, 2010 64.1% 50.6% 49.4%

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party # Candidate Votes Percentage
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

2 Jason Hu Chih-chiang
Jason Hu
Jason Hu Chih-chiang is a former official in the national government of Republic of China. He is currently serving his second term as mayor of the central Taiwan city of Taichung. His current term ends in early 2010 and he is currently running for re-election as mayor of the new Taichung...

(胡志強)
730,284 51.12%
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

1 Su Jia-chyuan
Su Jia-chyuan
Su Jia-chyuan is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party . Currently the Secretary-General of the DPP, Su was formerly a legislator and later Pingtung County Commissioner, and held national posts as Minister of the Interior and Minister of Agriculture. In 2010 he narrowly lost...

 (蘇嘉全)
698,358 48.88%
Total 1,428,642 100.00%
Voter turnout 73.15%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

531,365 37.64% 27
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

460,345 32.61% 24
Taiwan Solidarity Union
Taiwan Solidarity Union
The Taiwan Solidarity Union is a political party in the Republic of China which advocates Taiwan independence. It was officially founded on July 24, 2001 and is considered part of the Pan-Green Coalition. Unlike the Democratic Progressive Party, its larger companion party in the Pan-Green...

24,396 1.73% 1
People First Party 9,247 0.66% 1
Independent 386,217 27.36% 10
Total 1,411,570 100.00% 63
Voter turnout 73.21%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

465,827 34.40% 227
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

54,623 4.03% 18
Independent 833,529 61.56% 379
Total 1,353,979 100.00% 624
Voter turnout 73.31%

Electoral background

Results of Past Tainan County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1989 Lee Ya-chiao Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1993 Mark Chen Tang-shan
Mark Chen
Mark Chen Tang-shan , born September 16, 1935, in Tainan County , Taiwan, is a Taiwanese politician, former Secretary-General of the Office of the President of the Republic of China under ex-President Chen Shui-bian. He was also previously Foreign Minister of the ROC from 2004 to 2006...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

1997 Mark Chen Tang-shan
Mark Chen
Mark Chen Tang-shan , born September 16, 1935, in Tainan County , Taiwan, is a Taiwanese politician, former Secretary-General of the Office of the President of the Republic of China under ex-President Chen Shui-bian. He was also previously Foreign Minister of the ROC from 2004 to 2006...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2001 Su Huan-chih
Su Huan-chih
Su Huan-chih was the magistrate of Tainan County from 2001 to 2010, until Tainan County's merger into Tainan City. Born in a rural township in southern Taiwan, Su graduated from National Taiwan University. He passed the bar examination in 1986 and started his career as a lawyer.Su made his entry...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2005 Su Huan-chih
Su Huan-chih
Su Huan-chih was the magistrate of Tainan County from 2001 to 2010, until Tainan County's merger into Tainan City. Born in a rural township in southern Taiwan, Su graduated from National Taiwan University. He passed the bar examination in 1986 and started his career as a lawyer.Su made his entry...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...




Results of Past Tainan City Mayoral Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1989 Shih Chih-ming
Shih Chih-ming
Shih Chih-ming is a Taiwanese politician of the Kuomintang party. He served two consecutive terms as mayor of Tainan City, from 1989 to 1997.-References:...

Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1993 Shih Chih-ming
Shih Chih-ming
Shih Chih-ming is a Taiwanese politician of the Kuomintang party. He served two consecutive terms as mayor of Tainan City, from 1989 to 1997.-References:...

Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1997 George Chang Tsan-hung
George Chang
George Chang Tsan-hung is a Taiwanese politician and Taiwan independence activist. He was the mayor of Tainan City from 1997 to 2001.- Early years :...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2001 Hsu Tain-tsair
Hsu Tain-tsair
Hsu Tain-tsair , a Taiwanese politician, served as the mayor of Tainan City from 2001 to 2010. Born in Tainan County , Hsu got his PhD candidacy in economics in the United States, where he started participating in the independence movement of Taiwan...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2005 Hsu Tain-tsair
Hsu Tain-tsair
Hsu Tain-tsair , a Taiwanese politician, served as the mayor of Tainan City from 2001 to 2010. Born in Tainan County , Hsu got his PhD candidacy in economics in the United States, where he started participating in the independence movement of Taiwan...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...





The newly created central municipality Tainan
Tainan
Tainan City is a city in southern Taiwan. It is the fifth largest after New Taipei, Kaohsiung, Taichung, and Taipei. It was formerly a provincial city, and in 2010, the provincial city merged with the adjacent Tainan County to form a single special municipality. Tainan faces the Taiwan Strait in...

 will be formed from the merging and elevation of Tainan County
Tainan County
Tainan County was located in southern Taiwan. The name "Tainan" means "Southern Taiwan". Formerly a county of the Republic of China , Tainan County was merged with Tainan City at the end of 2010 to form a single special municipality....

 and Tainan City
Tainan
Tainan City is a city in southern Taiwan. It is the fifth largest after New Taipei, Kaohsiung, Taichung, and Taipei. It was formerly a provincial city, and in 2010, the provincial city merged with the adjacent Tainan County to form a single special municipality. Tainan faces the Taiwan Strait in...

, both of which are currently county-level divisions of Taiwan
Taiwan
Taiwan , also known, especially in the past, as Formosa , is the largest island of the same-named island group of East Asia in the western Pacific Ocean and located off the southeastern coast of mainland China. The island forms over 99% of the current territory of the Republic of China following...

. The incumbent Tainan County Magistrate Su Huan-chih
Su Huan-chih
Su Huan-chih was the magistrate of Tainan County from 2001 to 2010, until Tainan County's merger into Tainan City. Born in a rural township in southern Taiwan, Su graduated from National Taiwan University. He passed the bar examination in 1986 and started his career as a lawyer.Su made his entry...

 and the incumbent Tainan City Mayor being Hsu Tain-tsair
Hsu Tain-tsair
Hsu Tain-tsair , a Taiwanese politician, served as the mayor of Tainan City from 2001 to 2010. Born in Tainan County , Hsu got his PhD candidacy in economics in the United States, where he started participating in the independence movement of Taiwan...

 are both members of the Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

. Having been under the administration of the Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

 for the past seventeen and thirteen years respectively, both Tainan County
Tainan County
Tainan County was located in southern Taiwan. The name "Tainan" means "Southern Taiwan". Formerly a county of the Republic of China , Tainan County was merged with Tainan City at the end of 2010 to form a single special municipality....

 and Tainan City
Tainan
Tainan City is a city in southern Taiwan. It is the fifth largest after New Taipei, Kaohsiung, Taichung, and Taipei. It was formerly a provincial city, and in 2010, the provincial city merged with the adjacent Tainan County to form a single special municipality. Tainan faces the Taiwan Strait in...

 are commonly considered to be strongholds of the Pan-Green political camp. It is estimated that in both the county and the city, approximately 60% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Green Coalition
Pan-Green Coalition
The Pan-Green Coalition or Pan-Green Camp, is an informal political alliance of the Republic of China, commonly known as "Taiwan", consisting of the Democratic Progressive Party , Taiwan Solidarity Union , and the minor Taiwan Independence Party...

, whilst 40% support the Pan-Blue Coalition
Pan-Blue Coalition
The Pan-Blue Coalition 泛藍聯盟 or Pan-Blue Force is a political alliance in the Republic of China , consisting of the Kuomintang , the People First Party , and the New Party . The name comes from the party colours of the Kuomintang...

.

Polling

Poll source Date of completion William Lai Ching-te Kuo Tien-tsai Undecided
TVBS May 20, 2010 59% 22% 19%
TVBS July 27, 2010 53% 25% 22%
Era Television August 17, 2010 47.7% 18.9% 33.4%
I-tel Research August 27, 2010 67.21% 32.79%
TVBS August 31, 2010 53% 25% 21%
I-tel Research September 13, 2010 75.42% 24.58%
China Times September 18, 2010 52% 21% 27%
United Daily News September 29, 2010 44% 20% 33%
I-tel Research September 30, 2010 66.43% 33.57%
TVBS October 13, 2010 50% 28% 22%
Shih Hsin University October 16, 2010 36.2% 23.3% 40.5%
Liberty Times October 23, 2010 44.07% 16.73% 39.2%
United Daily News October 29, 2010 48% 24% 28%
China Times October 29, 2010 52% 23% 25%
TVBS November 4, 2010 47% 34% 18%
Shih Hsin University November 13, 2010 37.7% 22.0% 40.3%
Democratic Progressive Party November 13, 2010 51.3% 25.9% 22.8%

Predictions

Source Date of release Voter turnout William Lai Ching-te Kuo Tien-tsai
TVBS August 31, 2010 67% 64% 36%
I-tel Research October 4, 2010 66.79% 33.21%
United Daily News October 29, 2010 58% 42%
TVBS November 4, 2010 71% 56% 44%
Global Views November 27, 2010 61.7% 62.5% 37.5%

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party # Candidate Votes Percentage
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2 William Lai Ching-te (賴清德) 619,897 60.41%
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1 Kuo Tien-tsai (郭添財) 406,196 39.59%
Total 1,026,093 100.00%
Voter turnout 71.01%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

378,139 37.01% 27
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

288,861 28.27% 13
People First Party 5,774 0.57% 0
New Party
New Party
New Party may refer to:* New Party * New Party Corrientes * New Party Japan* New Party * New Party * New Party - the party of Oswald Mosley...

810 0.08% 0
Taiwan Solidarity Union
Taiwan Solidarity Union
The Taiwan Solidarity Union is a political party in the Republic of China which advocates Taiwan independence. It was officially founded on July 24, 2001 and is considered part of the Pan-Green Coalition. Unlike the Democratic Progressive Party, its larger companion party in the Pan-Green...

4,701 0.46% 0
Taiwan Public Opinion Party 138 0.01% 0
Independent 343,300 33.60% 17
Total 1,021,723 100.00% 57
Voter turnout 71.09%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

191,288 19.56% 124
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

69,780 7.13% 40
Independent 717,077 73.31% 588
Total 978,145 100.00% 752
Voter turnout 71.17%

Electoral background

Results of Past Kaohsiung Municipal Mayoral Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1994 Wu Den-yih
Wu Den-yih
Wu Den-yih is a Taiwanese politician of the Kuomintang Party, and the current Premier of the Republic of China.-Personal:Wu was born in Tsaotun, Nantou County, Taiwan...

Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

1998 Frank Hsieh Chang-ting
Frank Hsieh
Frank Hsieh Chang-ting is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party in the Republic of China. He was the mayor of Kaohsiung City until his appointment as President of the Executive Yuan by president Chen Shui-bian on February 1, 2005. He announced his resignation from the post of...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2002 Frank Hsieh Chang-ting
Frank Hsieh
Frank Hsieh Chang-ting is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party in the Republic of China. He was the mayor of Kaohsiung City until his appointment as President of the Executive Yuan by president Chen Shui-bian on February 1, 2005. He announced his resignation from the post of...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2006 Chen Chu
Chen Chu
Chen Chu is a Taiwanese politician who is the current mayor of Kaohsiung. She was one of the "Kaohsiung Eight," prominent dissidents arrested after the Kaohsiung Incident in 1979...

Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...




Results of Past Kaohsiung County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1989 Yu Chen Yueh-ying Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

1993 Yu Cheng-hsien Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

1997 Yu Cheng-hsien Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2001 Yang Chiu-hsing Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

2005 Yang Chiu-hsing Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...





The newly created central municipality Kaohsiung
Kaohsiung
Kaohsiung is a city located in southwestern Taiwan, facing the Taiwan Strait on the west. Kaohsiung, officially named Kaohsiung City, is divided into thirty-eight districts. The city is one of five special municipalities of the Republic of China...

 will be formed from the merging of Kaohsiung County
Kaohsiung County
Kaohsiung County was a county in southern Taiwan that enclosed but did not include Kaohsiung City. On December 25, 2010, the county merged with Kaohsiung City to form a single special municipality.- Administration :-External links:*...

 and the current central municipality Kaohsiung City
Kaohsiung
Kaohsiung is a city located in southwestern Taiwan, facing the Taiwan Strait on the west. Kaohsiung, officially named Kaohsiung City, is divided into thirty-eight districts. The city is one of five special municipalities of the Republic of China...

. The incumbent Kaohsiung Municipal Mayor Chen Chu
Chen Chu
Chen Chu is a Taiwanese politician who is the current mayor of Kaohsiung. She was one of the "Kaohsiung Eight," prominent dissidents arrested after the Kaohsiung Incident in 1979...

 and the incumbent Kaohsiung County Magistrate Yang Chiu-hsing are both members of the Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

. Having been under the administration of the Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

 for the past twelve years, the electoral composition of Kaohsiung City
Kaohsiung
Kaohsiung is a city located in southwestern Taiwan, facing the Taiwan Strait on the west. Kaohsiung, officially named Kaohsiung City, is divided into thirty-eight districts. The city is one of five special municipalities of the Republic of China...

 has a slight overall inclination towards the Pan-Green political camp. On the other hand, Kaohsiung County
Kaohsiung County
Kaohsiung County was a county in southern Taiwan that enclosed but did not include Kaohsiung City. On December 25, 2010, the county merged with Kaohsiung City to form a single special municipality.- Administration :-External links:*...

 has been under the control of Tangwai members and the Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

 for 25 years, is widely considered to be solidly in the Pan-Green political camp. It is estimated that in Kaohsiung County
Kaohsiung County
Kaohsiung County was a county in southern Taiwan that enclosed but did not include Kaohsiung City. On December 25, 2010, the county merged with Kaohsiung City to form a single special municipality.- Administration :-External links:*...

, approximately 60% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Green Coalition
Pan-Green Coalition
The Pan-Green Coalition or Pan-Green Camp, is an informal political alliance of the Republic of China, commonly known as "Taiwan", consisting of the Democratic Progressive Party , Taiwan Solidarity Union , and the minor Taiwan Independence Party...

, whilst 40% support the Pan-Blue Coalition
Pan-Blue Coalition
The Pan-Blue Coalition 泛藍聯盟 or Pan-Blue Force is a political alliance in the Republic of China , consisting of the Kuomintang , the People First Party , and the New Party . The name comes from the party colours of the Kuomintang...

.

Polling

Poll source Date of completion Chen Chu
Chen Chu
Chen Chu is a Taiwanese politician who is the current mayor of Kaohsiung. She was one of the "Kaohsiung Eight," prominent dissidents arrested after the Kaohsiung Incident in 1979...

 
Yang Chiu-hsing Huang Chao-shun Undecided
TVBS May 27, 2010 62% 26% 12%
Era Television July 13, 2010 45.4% 25.4% 11.7% 17.5%
TVBS July 29, 2010 43% 26% 16% 15%
Apple Daily August 3, 2010 43.75% 27.18% 20.49% 8.58%
Era Television August 3, 2010 43.6% 23.8% 11.5% 21.2%
United Daily News August 4, 2010 44% 23% 13% 19%
Democratic Progressive Party August 9, 2010 53.7% 22.6% 15.3% 8.4%
TVBS August 10, 2010 46% 28% 14% 12%
I-tel Research August 16, 2010 54.35% 36.96% 8.70%
Liberty Times August 18, 2010 46% 19% 7% 28%
I-tel Research August 31, 2010 48.36% 20.49% 31.15%
TVBS September 2, 2010 46% 22% 16% 16%
I-tel Research September 17, 2010 56.45% 25.81% 17.74%
China Times September 18, 2010 45.5% 20.2% 14.9% 19.3%
Apple Daily September 23, 2010 36.39% 24.60% 18.05% 20.96%
United Daily News September 26, 2010 37% 24% 14% 23%
Democratic Progressive Party September 27, 2010 46.0% 26.3% 12.4% 15.3%
TVBS September 28, 2010 42% 21% 18% 19%
The Commons Daily September 29, 2010 31.7% 18.8% 7.3% 42.4%
Apple Daily September 29, 2010 38.30% 22.48% 19.61% 19.61%
China Times September 30, 2010 42.8% 21.1% 13.8% 22.3%
Democratic Progressive Party October 12, 2010 47.0% 21.7% 14.8% 16.5%
Shih Hsin University October 14, 2010 31.7% 20.6% 15.2% 32.5%
TVBS October 25, 2010 43% 26% 16% 15%
China Times October 28, 2010 47.1% 23.4% 10.3% 19.2%
Liberty Times October 30, 2010 43.27% 18.52% 7.8% 30.41%
United Daily News October 31, 2010 39% 29% 16% 16%
TVBS November 7, 2010 41% 28% 16% 15%
Democratic Progressive Party November 9, 2010 47.2% 25.6% 12.5% 14.7%
Shih Hsin University November 11, 2010 34.1% 18.2% 15.3% 32.4%
Liberty Times November 15, 2010 45.03% 16.76% 11.51% 26.37%
China Times November 15, 2010 46.0% 24.0% 13.7% 16.3%

Predictions

Source Date of release Voter turnout Chen Chu
Chen Chu
Chen Chu is a Taiwanese politician who is the current mayor of Kaohsiung. She was one of the "Kaohsiung Eight," prominent dissidents arrested after the Kaohsiung Incident in 1979...

 
Yang Chiu-hsing Huang Chao-shun
TVBS September 2, 2010 72% 52% 26% 22%
I-tel Research October 4, 2010 52.74% 25.34% 21.92%
TVBS October 25, 2010 74% 46% 31% 23%
United Daily News October 31, 2010 44% 35% 21%
TVBS November 7, 2010 73% 45% 33% 21%
Kuomintang November 15, 2010 41.52% 27.68% 30.80%
Global Views November 27, 2010 69.7% 55.6% 39.2% 5.2%

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party # Candidate Votes Percentage
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

3 Chen Chu
Chen Chu
Chen Chu is a Taiwanese politician who is the current mayor of Kaohsiung. She was one of the "Kaohsiung Eight," prominent dissidents arrested after the Kaohsiung Incident in 1979...

(陳菊)
821,089 52.80%
Independent 1 Yang Chiu-hsing (楊秋興) 414,950 26.68%
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

2 Huang Chao-shun (黃昭順) 319,171 20.52%
Total 1,555,210 100.00%
Voter turnout 72.52%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

601,083 39.08% 29
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

564,397 36.70% 28
People First Party 30,355 1.97% 1
New Party
New Party
New Party may refer to:* New Party * New Party Corrientes * New Party Japan* New Party * New Party * New Party - the party of Oswald Mosley...

1,317 0.09% 0
Taiwan Solidarity Union
Taiwan Solidarity Union
The Taiwan Solidarity Union is a political party in the Republic of China which advocates Taiwan independence. It was officially founded on July 24, 2001 and is considered part of the Pan-Green Coalition. Unlike the Democratic Progressive Party, its larger companion party in the Pan-Green...

27,171 1.77% 0
Independent 313,586 20.39% 8
Total 1,537,889 100.00% 66
Voter turnout 72.60%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party Votes Percentage Seats
Kuomintang (Chinese Nationalist Party)
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

393,136 26.81% 242
Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

170,430 11.62% 96
Taiwan Solidarity Union
Taiwan Solidarity Union
The Taiwan Solidarity Union is a political party in the Republic of China which advocates Taiwan independence. It was officially founded on July 24, 2001 and is considered part of the Pan-Green Coalition. Unlike the Democratic Progressive Party, its larger companion party in the Pan-Green...

85 0.01% 0
Independent 902,836 61.56% 555
Total 1,466,487 100.00% 893
Voter turnout 72.72%

Implications and reactions

A forum entitled "Policy Direction after Five Metropolitan Elections in Taiwan", organized by the Institute for National Policy Research on Monday, November 29, 2010, concluded that although the Kuomintang
Kuomintang
The Kuomintang of China , sometimes romanized as Guomindang via the Pinyin transcription system or GMD for short, and translated as the Chinese Nationalist Party is a founding and ruling political party of the Republic of China . Its guiding ideology is the Three Principles of the People, espoused...

 won three of the five mayoral positions, in terms of the overall votes won, the real victor was in fact the Democratic Progressive Party
Democratic Progressive Party
The Democratic Progressive Party is a political party in Taiwan, and the dominant party in the Pan-Green Coalition. Founded in 1986, DPP is the first meaningful opposition party in Taiwan. It has traditionally been associated with strong advocacy of human rights and a distinct Taiwanese identity,...

.

Raymond Burghardt, chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan
American Institute in Taiwan
The American Institute in Taiwan is a non-profit, public corporation established under the auspices of the United States government to serve its interests in Taiwan...

 commented that "the way both parties handled that [the shooting which wounded Sean Lien
Sean Lien
Sean Lien Sheng-wen is a current member of the Central Standing Committee of the Kuomintang, the current ruling party in Taiwan. He is the former chairman of the Taipei Smart Card Corporation, the company which operates EasyCard, the payment system for the Taipei Metro.-Biography:Lien is the...

, son of former vice-president Lien Chan] was also a sign of political maturity."

Taiwanese political scientist Hsu Yung-Ming believed that the elections signalled the era of the new "Four Heavenly Kings" Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen
Tsai Ing-wen is the current chairperson of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan. Studying in Taiwan, the U.S and the U.K. Tsai earned an LL.B. from National Taiwan University, an LL.M. from Cornell University Law School and a Ph.D. from the London School of Economics....

, Chen Chu
Chen Chu
Chen Chu is a Taiwanese politician who is the current mayor of Kaohsiung. She was one of the "Kaohsiung Eight," prominent dissidents arrested after the Kaohsiung Incident in 1979...

, William Lai and Su Jia-chyuan
Su Jia-chyuan
Su Jia-chyuan is a Taiwanese politician of the Democratic Progressive Party . Currently the Secretary-General of the DPP, Su was formerly a legislator and later Pingtung County Commissioner, and held national posts as Minister of the Interior and Minister of Agriculture. In 2010 he narrowly lost...

within the Democratic Progressive Party.
The source of this article is wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.  The text of this article is licensed under the GFDL.
 
x
OK