Oregon gubernatorial election, 2010
Encyclopedia
The Oregon gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on Tuesday, to elect the Governor of Oregon
, who will serve a four-year term to begin on . The incumbent governor, Democrat
Ted Kulongoski
, was ineligible to run due to term limits
barring him from being elected to more than two consecutive terms.
The Democratic candidate John Kitzhaber
, who had previously served two terms as governor from 1995 to 2003, was elected to a third term, earning a narrow victory over Republican
candidate Chris Dudley
and two minor party candidates. Kitzhaber's election marked the first time in Oregon's history that a person has been elected to a third term as governor.
Almost every opinion poll throughout the election season showed a statistical tie between the two. State Republicans saw this election as the best chance to win the governorship since the last Republican governor, Victor Atiyeh
, was re-elected in 1982
. Once polls closed on election day, Dudley had led in early vote counts, but Kitzhaber's wide margins in Multnomah
and Lane
counties eventually erased Dudley's lead.
Oregon first used its new cross nomination system, a form of fusion voting, in the 2010 general elections. In this system, a candidate for partisan public office can be nominated by up to three political parties.
Kitzhaber was nominated by the Independent Party of Oregon
in addition to the Democratic Party.
Independent Party of Oregon
Oregon first used its new cross nomination system, a form of fusion voting, in the 2010 general elections. In this system, a candidate for partisan public office can be nominated by up to three political parties.
As a result, the Independent Party of Oregon did not file a candidate and instead chose to hold a month-long online primary in July. In doing so, it became the first political party in the United States to conduct a binding statewide primary election
entirely over the Internet,
and it was the largest nominating process ever held by an Oregon minor political party.
Republican Chris Dudley did not apply for the Independent Party nomination by the required date, so he was not on the ballot, but he could be written in.
Throughout the last few months of the campaign, opinion polls showed a tight race with the lead apparently changing frequently. Due to the closeness of the race, President
Barack Obama
, for whom Oregon voted by a 16-percent margin in 2008
, stumped for Kitzhaber; then headlined a rally at the Oregon Convention Center
in Portland
on .
in eastern Oregon.
Dudley won the vast majority of sparsely-populated counties and showed an early lead;
however, Kitzhaber held a 70%–28% lead in Multnomah County
, which had received nearly 90,000 ballots on the day of the election.
Verifying and counting of ballots stretched well into the next day, November 3, with no winner determined until mid-afternoon. By that time, Dudley's lead had narrowed considerably, and the major media called the race for Kitzhaber, extrapolating that the ballots yet to be counted in the Democratic strongholds of Multnomah
and Lane
counties would be enough to give Kitzhaber the victory.
Dudley conceded a few hours later.
|- style="background-color:#F6F6F6"
| colspan="3" style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Margin of victory
| style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 22,238
| style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 1.53%
|-
Rasmussen Reports
,
and The New York Times
.
FiveThirtyEight.com
's latest model gave Kitzhaber a 75.9-percent chance of winning the election.
Official campaign websites
Governor of Oregon
The Governor of Oregon is the top executive of the government of the U.S. state of Oregon. The title of governor was also applied to the office of Oregon's chief executive during the provisional and U.S. territorial governments....
, who will serve a four-year term to begin on . The incumbent governor, Democrat
Democratic Party of Oregon
The Democratic Party of Oregon, based in Portland, is the official Oregon affiliate of the United States Democratic Party. It is recognized by the state of Oregon as a major political party, along with the Oregon Republican Party...
Ted Kulongoski
Ted Kulongoski
Theodore R. "Ted" Kulongoski is an American politician, who served as the 36th Governor of Oregon. A Democrat, he has served in both houses of the Oregon Legislative Assembly, as the state Insurance Commissioner, the Attorney General, and an Associate Justice on the Oregon Supreme Court.-Early...
, was ineligible to run due to term limits
Term limits in Oregon
Term limits legislation – term limits for state and federal office-holders – has been a recurring political issue in the U.S. state of Oregon since 1992...
barring him from being elected to more than two consecutive terms.
The Democratic candidate John Kitzhaber
John Kitzhaber
John Albert Kitzhaber is the 37th Governor of Oregon. He served as the 35th Governor of Oregon from 1995 to 2003 and became the first person to be elected to the office three times when he was re-elected to a non-consecutive third term in 2010...
, who had previously served two terms as governor from 1995 to 2003, was elected to a third term, earning a narrow victory over Republican
Oregon Republican Party
The Oregon Republican Party is the state affiliate of the United States Republican Party in Oregon, headquartered in Lake Oswego. The first state party convention was held in Salem on April 21, 1859, and its first nominee for Congress, Portland attorney David Logan...
candidate Chris Dudley
Chris Dudley
Christen Guilford "Chris" Dudley is a retired American basketball player who played 16 years and 886 games in the NBA for five different teams. A journeyman center, he was known primarily for his defensive skill as a rebounder and shot blocker...
and two minor party candidates. Kitzhaber's election marked the first time in Oregon's history that a person has been elected to a third term as governor.
Almost every opinion poll throughout the election season showed a statistical tie between the two. State Republicans saw this election as the best chance to win the governorship since the last Republican governor, Victor Atiyeh
Victor G. Atiyeh
Victor George Atiyeh is an American politician, elected the 32nd Governor of Oregon in 1978. A member of the Republican Party, Atiyeh was the first elected governor of Arab descent in the United States, serving eight years from 1979 through 1987...
, was re-elected in 1982
Oregon gubernatorial election, 1982
The 1982 Oregon gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 1982. Republican incumbent Victor G. Atiyeh defeated Democratic state senator Ted Kulongoski to win re-election.-Election results:...
. Once polls closed on election day, Dudley had led in early vote counts, but Kitzhaber's wide margins in Multnomah
Multnomah County, Oregon
Multnomah County is one of 36 counties in the U.S. state of Oregon. Though smallest in area, it is the most populous as its county seat, Portland, is the state's largest city...
and Lane
Lane County, Oregon
-National protected areas:*Oregon Islands National Wildlife Refuge *Siuslaw National Forest *Umpqua National Forest *Willamette National Forest -Government:...
counties eventually erased Dudley's lead.
Oregon first used its new cross nomination system, a form of fusion voting, in the 2010 general elections. In this system, a candidate for partisan public office can be nominated by up to three political parties.
Kitzhaber was nominated by the Independent Party of Oregon
Independent Party of Oregon
The Independent Party of Oregon is a political party in the U.S. state of Oregon. The IPO is Oregon's third-largest political party and the largest minor party of the state, with 68,516 registrants since its inception in January 2007 making up 3.37% of Oregon's registered voters...
in addition to the Democratic Party.
Primaries
The Republican and Democratic Oregon gubernatorial primaries occurred on .Candidates
- John KitzhaberJohn KitzhaberJohn Albert Kitzhaber is the 37th Governor of Oregon. He served as the 35th Governor of Oregon from 1995 to 2003 and became the first person to be elected to the office three times when he was re-elected to a non-consecutive third term in 2010...
, former Governor of OregonGovernor of OregonThe Governor of Oregon is the top executive of the government of the U.S. state of Oregon. The title of governor was also applied to the office of Oregon's chief executive during the provisional and U.S. territorial governments.... - Bill BradburyBill BradburyBill Bradbury is an American politician from the U.S. state of Oregon. A native of Illinois, he grew up in Chicago and Pennsylvania before moving to the West Coast where he worked in broadcast journalism before running for public office. Democrat, he served as Oregon Secretary of State from 1999...
, former Secretary of State of Oregon - Roger Obrist, retired topographic field assistant
Results
Candidates
- Chris DudleyChris DudleyChristen Guilford "Chris" Dudley is a retired American basketball player who played 16 years and 886 games in the NBA for five different teams. A journeyman center, he was known primarily for his defensive skill as a rebounder and shot blocker...
, wealth strategistWealth managementWealth management is an investment advisory discipline that incorporates financial planning, investment portfolio management and a number of aggregated financial services...
and former NBA player - Allen AlleyAllen AlleyAllen Alley is a businessman and Chairman of the Oregon Republican Party. He unsuccessfully ran for Oregon State Treasurer in 2008 and the Republican nomination for Governor of Oregon in 2010.-Early life:...
, former CEOChief executive officerA chief executive officer , managing director , Executive Director for non-profit organizations, or chief executive is the highest-ranking corporate officer or administrator in charge of total management of an organization...
and deputy chief of staffChief of StaffThe title, chief of staff, identifies the leader of a complex organization, institution, or body of persons and it also may identify a Principal Staff Officer , who is the coordinator of the supporting staff or a primary aide to an important individual, such as a president.In general, a chief of...
to Governor Ted KulongoskiTed KulongoskiTheodore R. "Ted" Kulongoski is an American politician, who served as the 36th Governor of Oregon. A Democrat, he has served in both houses of the Oregon Legislative Assembly, as the state Insurance Commissioner, the Attorney General, and an Associate Justice on the Oregon Supreme Court.-Early... - Clark Colvin, business executive
- William Ames Curtright
- Bob Forthan, state of Oregon employee
- Darren Karr, small business owner
- John LimJohn LimJohn Lim is a Republican politician in the United States state of Oregon. He has served in both houses of the Oregon Legislative Assembly and was the Oregon State Senate Majority Leader in 1995. He has unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. Senate and for the Republican nomination for Governor of...
, international business consultant and former Oregon State Senator - Bill SizemoreBill SizemoreBill Sizemore is a political activist in Redmond, Oregon, United States. Sizemore has never held elected office, but has nonetheless been a major political figure in Oregon since the 1990s. He is considered one of the main proponents of the Oregon tax revolt, a movement that seeks to reduce taxes...
, taxpayer advocate, public policy researcher and 1998 Republican nominee for Governor - Rex O. Watkins, real estate management executive
Results
Independent Party of OregonIndependent Party of OregonThe Independent Party of Oregon is a political party in the U.S. state of Oregon. The IPO is Oregon's third-largest political party and the largest minor party of the state, with 68,516 registrants since its inception in January 2007 making up 3.37% of Oregon's registered voters...
Oregon first used its new cross nomination system, a form of fusion voting, in the 2010 general elections. In this system, a candidate for partisan public office can be nominated by up to three political parties.As a result, the Independent Party of Oregon did not file a candidate and instead chose to hold a month-long online primary in July. In doing so, it became the first political party in the United States to conduct a binding statewide primary election
Primary election
A primary election is an election in which party members or voters select candidates for a subsequent election. Primary elections are one means by which a political party nominates candidates for the next general election....
entirely over the Internet,
and it was the largest nominating process ever held by an Oregon minor political party.
Republican Chris Dudley did not apply for the Independent Party nomination by the required date, so he was not on the ballot, but he could be written in.
Candidates
- John KitzhaberJohn KitzhaberJohn Albert Kitzhaber is the 37th Governor of Oregon. He served as the 35th Governor of Oregon from 1995 to 2003 and became the first person to be elected to the office three times when he was re-elected to a non-consecutive third term in 2010...
, former Governor of OregonGovernor of OregonThe Governor of Oregon is the top executive of the government of the U.S. state of Oregon. The title of governor was also applied to the office of Oregon's chief executive during the provisional and U.S. territorial governments.... - Jerry Wilson, founder and CEO of Soloflex, Inc.
- Richard Esterman, photographer
Results
Candidates
- Chris Dudley (RepublicanOregon Republican PartyThe Oregon Republican Party is the state affiliate of the United States Republican Party in Oregon, headquartered in Lake Oswego. The first state party convention was held in Salem on April 21, 1859, and its first nominee for Congress, Portland attorney David Logan...
), wealth strategistWealth managementWealth management is an investment advisory discipline that incorporates financial planning, investment portfolio management and a number of aggregated financial services...
and former NBA player - John Kitzhaber (DemocraticDemocratic Party of OregonThe Democratic Party of Oregon, based in Portland, is the official Oregon affiliate of the United States Democratic Party. It is recognized by the state of Oregon as a major political party, along with the Oregon Republican Party...
, IndependentIndependent Party of OregonThe Independent Party of Oregon is a political party in the U.S. state of Oregon. The IPO is Oregon's third-largest political party and the largest minor party of the state, with 68,516 registrants since its inception in January 2007 making up 3.37% of Oregon's registered voters...
), health policy advocate, former emergency room physician and former Governor of Oregon - Greg Kord (ConstitutionConstitution Party of OregonThe Constitution Party of Oregon is a political party organized as a minor party pursuant to state election law, and recognized by the State of Oregon as a state-wide nominating party....
), industrial piping designer - Wes Wagner (LibertarianLibertarian Party of OregonThe Libertarian Party of Oregon is a political party representing the national Libertarian Party in the U.S. state of Oregon. It is organized as a minor party for state election law, and recognized by the Oregon as a state-wide nominating party....
), systems administrator
Campaign
Following the primaries, the two leading candidates, Dudley and Kitzhaber, campaigned separately throughout the state for the summer. Despite attempts by both campaigns to arrange a debate, the candidates could only agree on a single debate on September 30. Through the end of September, the Dudley campaign had raised $5.6 million, more than twice as much as the Kitzhaber campaign.Throughout the last few months of the campaign, opinion polls showed a tight race with the lead apparently changing frequently. Due to the closeness of the race, President
President of the United States
The President of the United States of America is the head of state and head of government of the United States. The president leads the executive branch of the federal government and is the commander-in-chief of the United States Armed Forces....
Barack Obama
Barack Obama
Barack Hussein Obama II is the 44th and current President of the United States. He is the first African American to hold the office. Obama previously served as a United States Senator from Illinois, from January 2005 until he resigned following his victory in the 2008 presidential election.Born in...
, for whom Oregon voted by a 16-percent margin in 2008
United States presidential election in Oregon, 2008
The 2008 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on November 4, 2008 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 7 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice...
, stumped for Kitzhaber; then headlined a rally at the Oregon Convention Center
Oregon Convention Center
The Oregon Convention Center is a convention center in Portland, Oregon. Opened in 1990, it located on the east side of the Willamette River in the Lloyd District neighborhood. It is best known for the twin spire towers which provide light into the building's interior and for housing the world's...
in Portland
Portland, Oregon
Portland is a city located in the Pacific Northwest, near the confluence of the Willamette and Columbia rivers in the U.S. state of Oregon. As of the 2010 Census, it had a population of 583,776, making it the 29th most populous city in the United States...
on .
Newspaper endorsements
| Newspaper | Endorsement | |
|---|---|---|
| The Oregonian The Oregonian The Oregonian is the major daily newspaper in Portland, Oregon, owned by Advance Publications. It is the oldest continuously published newspaper on the U.S. west coast, founded as a weekly by Thomas J. Dryer on December 4, 1850... (Portland Portland, Oregon Portland is a city located in the Pacific Northwest, near the confluence of the Willamette and Columbia rivers in the U.S. state of Oregon. As of the 2010 Census, it had a population of 583,776, making it the 29th most populous city in the United States... ) |
John Kitzhaber | |
| Willamette Week Willamette Week Willamette Week is an alternative weekly newspaper published in Portland, Oregon, United States. It features reports on local news, politics, sports, business and culture.... (Portland) |
John Kitzhaber | |
| Portland Tribune Portland Tribune The Portland Tribune is a free weekly newspaper published each Thursday in Portland, Oregon, United States.The Tribune is part of the Pamplin Media Group, which publishes a number of community newspapers in the Portland metropolitan area, and also owns and operates the talk radio station KPAM, and... |
John Kitzhaber | |
| The Register-Guard The Register-Guard The Register-Guard is a daily newspaper published in Eugene, Oregon, United States. It was formed in a 1930 merger of two Eugene papers, the Eugene Daily Guard and the Morning Register. The paper serves the Eugene-Springfield area, as well as the Oregon Coast, Umpqua River Valley, and surrounding... (Eugene Eugene, Oregon Eugene is the second largest city in the U.S. state of Oregon and the seat of Lane County. It is located at the south end of the Willamette Valley, at the confluence of the McKenzie and Willamette rivers, about east of the Oregon Coast.As of the 2010 U.S... ) |
John Kitzhaber | |
| Statesman Journal Statesman Journal The Statesman Journal is the major daily newspaper published in Salem, Oregon, United States. Founded in 1851, the Oregon Statesman later merged with the Capital Journal to form the current newspaper, the second-oldest in Oregon. The Statesman Journal is distributed in Salem, Keizer, and much of... (Salem Salem, Oregon Salem is the capital of the U.S. state of Oregon, and the county seat of Marion County. It is located in the center of the Willamette Valley alongside the Willamette River, which runs north through the city. The river forms the boundary between Marion and Polk counties, and the city neighborhood... ) |
Chris Dudley | |
| Mail Tribune Mail Tribune The Mail Tribune is a seven-day daily newspaper based in Medford, Oregon, United States that serves Jackson County, Oregon, and adjacent areas of northern California.... (Medford Medford, Oregon Medford is a city in Jackson County, Oregon, United States. As of the 2010 US Census, the city had a total population of 74,907 and a metropolitan area population of 207,010, making the Medford MSA the 4th largest metro area in Oregon... ) |
John Kitzhaber | |
| The Bulletin The Bulletin (Bend) The Bulletin is the daily newspaper of Bend, Oregon, United States. The Bulletin is owned by Western Communications, a family-owned corporation founded by editor Robert W. Chandler. WesCom owns nine publications in Oregon and California.-History:... (Bend Bend, Oregon Bend is a city in and the county seat of Deschutes County, Oregon, United States, and the principal city of the Bend, Oregon Metropolitan Statistical Area. Bend is Central Oregon's largest city, and, despite its modest size, is the de facto metropolis of the region, owing to the low population... ) |
Chris Dudley | |
| East Oregonian East Oregonian The East Oregonian is a daily newspaper published in Pendleton, Oregon, United States and covering Umatilla and Morrow counties. The newspaper was established in 1875 as a weekly by M. P. Bull. In 1882, C. S. "Sam" Jackson purchased the EO. Within a year it had become a semiweekly, and in 1888,... (Pendleton Pendleton, Oregon Pendleton is a city in Umatilla County, Oregon, United States. Pendleton was named in 1868 by the county commissioners for George H. Pendleton, Democratic candidate for Vice-President in the 1864 presidential campaign. The population was 16,612 at the 2010 census... ) |
John Kitzhaber | |
| The Lake Oswego Review | John Kitzhaber | |
| The News-Review The News-Review The News-Review is a six-day-a-week community newspaper published in Roseburg, Oregon, United States. The circulation area covers most of Douglas County including Canyonville, Glide, Myrtle Creek, Oakland, Roseburg, Sutherlin, Winston, and many other small communities.Circulation is estimated to be... (Roseburg Roseburg, Oregon Roseburg is a city in the U.S. state of Oregon. It is the county seat of Douglas County. The population was 21,181 at the 2010 census.-History:... ) |
John Kitzhaber | |
| The Outlook The Outlook (Gresham) The Outlook is a newspaper published in Gresham, Oregon, a suburb of Portland in the U.S. state of Oregon. It was founded in 1911, and is currently owned by the Pamplin Media Group.... (Gresham Gresham, Oregon - Demographics :As of the census of 2000, there were 90,205 people, 33,327 households, and 22,695 families residing in the city. The population density was 4,071.6 people per square mile . There were 35,309 housing units at an average density of 1,593.8 per square mile... ) |
John Kitzhaber | |
| The Daily Astorian The Daily Astorian The Daily Astorian is a daily newspaper, published in Astoria, Oregon, United States. The paper serves the Astoria, Warrenton, Seaside area, the Long Beach Peninsula, and surrounding areas. The newspaper has a circulation of approximately 8,400 Monday through Friday. The newspaper is owned by the... |
John Kitzhaber | |
| Corvallis Gazette-Times Corvallis Gazette-Times The Corvallis Gazette-Times is a daily newspaper in Corvallis, Oregon, United States. The newspaper, along with its sister publication, the Albany Democrat-Herald is owned by Lee Enterprises of Davenport, Iowa... |
John Kitzhaber | |
| News-Register News-Register (McMinnville) The News-Register is a newspaper published in McMinnville, Oregon, United States. It is a semi-weekly community newspaper serving McMinnville and the surrounding Yamhill Valley. The News-Register Publishing Co. and parent holding company Oregon Lithoprint, Inc... (McMinnville McMinnville, Oregon McMinnville is the county seat and largest city of Yamhill County, Oregon, United States. According to Oregon Geographic Names, it was named by its founder, William T. Newby , an early immigrant on the Oregon Trail, for his hometown of McMinnville, Tennessee... ) |
Chris Dudley | |
| The Sandy Post The Sandy Post The Sandy Post is a weekly newspaper, published in Sandy, Oregon, United States. The paper, founded in 1938, serves the communities of Sandy, Boring, the Villages at Mount Hood and the surrounding areas. The newspaper is owned by Community Newspapers/Pamplin Media Group, a company of Robert B... |
John Kitzhaber | |
| Beaverton Valley Times Beaverton Valley Times The Beaverton Valley Times is a weekly newspaper covering the city of Beaverton, Oregon, United States. Owned by the Pamplin Media Group, the paper was established in 1921. Based in neighboring Portland, the Valley Times is printed each Thursday and has a total circulation of 5,774.-History:Founded... |
John Kitzhaber | |
| West Linn Tidings West Linn Tidings The West Linn Tidings is a newspaper published in West Linn, Oregon, United States, a suburb of Portland. It is owned by the Pamplin Media Group.... |
John Kitzhaber | |
Results
Polls closed on at 8:00 PM Pacific Daylight Time (UTC−7) in the vast majority of the state — and one hour earlier, at 8:00 PM Mountain Daylight Time (UTC−6), in most of Malheur CountyMalheur County, Oregon
Malheur County is a county located in the southeast corner of the U.S. state of Oregon. It is included in the eight-county definition of Eastern Oregon. Most of the county observes the Mountain Time Zone, although the southern quarter of the county observes the Pacific Time Zone along with the...
in eastern Oregon.
Dudley won the vast majority of sparsely-populated counties and showed an early lead;
however, Kitzhaber held a 70%–28% lead in Multnomah County
Multnomah County, Oregon
Multnomah County is one of 36 counties in the U.S. state of Oregon. Though smallest in area, it is the most populous as its county seat, Portland, is the state's largest city...
, which had received nearly 90,000 ballots on the day of the election.
Verifying and counting of ballots stretched well into the next day, November 3, with no winner determined until mid-afternoon. By that time, Dudley's lead had narrowed considerably, and the major media called the race for Kitzhaber, extrapolating that the ballots yet to be counted in the Democratic strongholds of Multnomah
Multnomah County, Oregon
Multnomah County is one of 36 counties in the U.S. state of Oregon. Though smallest in area, it is the most populous as its county seat, Portland, is the state's largest city...
and Lane
Lane County, Oregon
-National protected areas:*Oregon Islands National Wildlife Refuge *Siuslaw National Forest *Umpqua National Forest *Willamette National Forest -Government:...
counties would be enough to give Kitzhaber the victory.
Dudley conceded a few hours later.
|- style="background-color:#F6F6F6"
| colspan="3" style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | Margin of victory
| style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 22,238
| style="text-align: right; margin-right: 0.5em" | 1.53%
|-
Democratic primary
| Poll source | Date administered | John Kitzhaber | Bill Bradbury | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis, Hibbetts & Midghall | May 8–10, 2010 | 53% | 23% | 22% |
| Survey USA | May 7–9, 2010 | 59% | 25% | 12% |
Republican primary
| Poll source | Date administered | Chris Dudley | Allen Alley | John Lim | Bill Sizemore | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis, Hibbetts & Midghall | May 8–10, 2010 | 33% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 24% |
| Survey USA | May 7–9, 2010 | 42% | 24% | 8% | 8% | 14% |
General election
The race was rated a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report,Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...
,
and The New York Times
The New York Times
The New York Times is an American daily newspaper founded and continuously published in New York City since 1851. The New York Times has won 106 Pulitzer Prizes, the most of any news organization...
.
FiveThirtyEight.com
FiveThirtyEight.com
FiveThirtyEight is a polling aggregation website with a blog created by Nate Silver. Sometimes colloquially referred to as 538 dot com or just 538, the website takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college...
's latest model gave Kitzhaber a 75.9-percent chance of winning the election.
| Poll source | Date administered | Margin of Error | John Kitzhaber (D) | Chris Dudley (R) | Other Candidate | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis & Hibbitts | October 30–31, 2010 | ± 3.1% | 46% | 43% | ||
| Survey USA | October 23–28, 2010 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 41% | 2% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 25, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | 3% | 3% |
| Hibbitts | October 24–25, 2010 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | 2% | 12% |
| Elway Research | October 18–19, 2010 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 3% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 16–17, 2010 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% | |
| Survey USA | October 12–14, 2010 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 4% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 10, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 3% | 4% |
| Survey USA | September 12–14, 2010 | ± 4.2% | 43% | 49% | 5% | 3% |
| Riley Research | Aug. 31-Sept. 9, 2010 | ± 5.0% | 40% | 39% | 5% | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 8, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 2% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 22, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 3% | 8% |
| Grove Insight | August 18–21, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 35% | 4% | 14% |
| Survey USA | July 25–27, 2010 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 7% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 26, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 5% | 4% |
| Magellan Strategies | June 28, 2010 | ± 3.2% | 40% | 41% | 10% | 9% |
| Davis, Hibbits and Midghall | June 21, 2010 | unk | 41% | 41% | 6% | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 17, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 47% | 4% | 4% |
| Survey USA | June 7–9, 2010 | ± 4.2% | 40% | 47% | 6% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 20, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 4% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 26, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 4% | 4% |
| Moore Insight | February 20–21, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 33% | 21% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 17, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 36% | 7% | 15% |
See also
- Oregon state elections, 2010
- Governor of OregonGovernor of OregonThe Governor of Oregon is the top executive of the government of the U.S. state of Oregon. The title of governor was also applied to the office of Oregon's chief executive during the provisional and U.S. territorial governments....
- List of governors of Oregon
- United States gubernatorial elections, 2010United States gubernatorial elections, 2010The United States gubernatorial elections were held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 in 37 states . As in most midterm elections, the party controlling the White House lost ground...
External links
- Oregon Secretary of State - Elections Division
- Oregon Governor Candidates at Project Vote SmartProject Vote SmartProject Vote Smart is a non-profit, non-partisan research organization that collects and distributes information on candidates for public office in the United States...
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Oregon Governor from Follow the Money
- Oregon Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Election 2010: Oregon Governor from Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...
- 2010 Oregon Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Oregon Governor's Race from CQ PoliticsCongressional QuarterlyCongressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress...
- Race Profile in The New York TimesThe New York TimesThe New York Times is an American daily newspaper founded and continuously published in New York City since 1851. The New York Times has won 106 Pulitzer Prizes, the most of any news organization...
Official campaign websites