Gompertz distribution
Encyclopedia
The Gompertz distribution is an extreme value (reverted Gumbel
Gumbel
Gumbel may refer to:* Gumbel distribution, named after Emil Julius Gumbel* Bryant Gumbel , American television sportscaster, brother of Greg* Emil Julius Gumbel, , German mathematician, pacifist and anti-Nazi campaigner...

) distribution (i.e., the distribution of ) truncated at zero. It has been used as a model of customer lifetime.

Probability density function

The probability density function
Probability density function
In probability theory, a probability density function , or density of a continuous random variable is a function that describes the relative likelihood for this random variable to occur at a given point. The probability for the random variable to fall within a particular region is given by the...

 of the Gompertz distribution is:


where is the scale parameter
Scale parameter
In probability theory and statistics, a scale parameter is a special kind of numerical parameter of a parametric family of probability distributions...

 and is the shape parameter
Shape parameter
In probability theory and statistics, a shape parameter is a kind of numerical parameter of a parametric family of probability distributions.- Definition :...

 of the Gompertz distribution.

Cumulative distribution function

The cumulative distribution function
Cumulative distribution function
In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function , or just distribution function, describes the probability that a real-valued random variable X with a given probability distribution will be found at a value less than or equal to x. Intuitively, it is the "area so far"...

 of the Gompertz distribution is:

where

Moment generating function

The moment generating function is such as:


Let us make the following change of variable: y=. The moment generating function becomes:



With

Shapes

The Gompertz density function can take on different shapes depending on the values of the shape parameter :
  • the probability density function has its mode at 0.
  • the probability density function has its mode at
where is the smallest root of
which is

Related distributions

The Gompertz distribution is a natural conjugate to a gamma distribution. If varies according to a gamma distribution with shape parameter and scale parameter (mean = ), the cumulative distribution function is Gamma/Gompertz (G/G).

See also

  • Gompertz function
  • Gompertz–Makeham law of mortality
  • Customer lifetime value
    Customer lifetime value
    -Definition of Customer Lifetime Value:In marketing, customer lifetime value , lifetime customer value , or lifetime value is the net present value of the cash flows attributed to the relationship with a customer...

  • Gumbel distribution
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