2006 FIFA World Cup seeding
Encyclopedia
To calculate the seeding for the 2006 FIFA World Cup
2006 FIFA World Cup
The 2006 FIFA World Cup was the 18th FIFA World Cup, the quadrennial international football world championship tournament. It was held from 9 June to 9 July 2006 in Germany, which won the right to host the event in July 2000. Teams representing 198 national football associations from all six...

, FIFA used the FIFA World Rankings
FIFA World Rankings
The FIFA World Rankings is a ranking system for men's national teams in association football, currently led by Spain. The teams of the member nations of FIFA , football's world governing body, are ranked based on their game results with the most successful teams being ranked highest...

 in combination with performances of national teams in the two previous World Cups.

Points were allocated on the basis of 32 for the best achieving of the 32 qualifiers for 2006 FIFA World Cup
2006 FIFA World Cup
The 2006 FIFA World Cup was the 18th FIFA World Cup, the quadrennial international football world championship tournament. It was held from 9 June to 9 July 2006 in Germany, which won the right to host the event in July 2000. Teams representing 198 national football associations from all six...

 in each of the five fields considered, down to one for the lowest ranking.

The seedings table uses these points obtained from the 1998 FIFA World Cup
1998 FIFA World Cup
The 1998 FIFA World Cup, the 16th FIFA World Cup, was held in France from 10 June to 12 July 1998. France was chosen as host nation by FIFA on 2 July 1992. The tournament was won by France, who beat Brazil 3-0 in the final...

 and the 2002 FIFA World Cup
2002 FIFA World Cup
The 2002 FIFA World Cup was the 17th staging of the FIFA World Cup, held in South Korea and Japan from 31 May to 30 June. It was also the first World Cup held in Asia, and the last in which the golden goal rule was implemented. Brazil won the tournament for a record fifth time, beating Germany 2–0...

 averaged in a 1:2 ratio respectively, added to the average amount of points derived from the World Rankings at three given dates (at ratio 1:1:1), December 2003, December 2004, and November 2005. This generates a view of how well the teams have performed over the last ten years (since the rankings in 2003 include results from eight years previous to that) with a specific focus on how the teams have performed in the FIFA World Cup on previous occasions. Significant differences between this ranking of the teams and the official FIFA rankings at the time of the draw can be seen for Czech Republic
Czech Republic national football team
The Czech Republic national football team represents the Czech Republic in association football and is controlled by the Football Association of the Czech Republic, the governing body for football in the Czech Republic. Their current head coach is Michal Bílek...

, Germany
Germany national football team
The Germany national football team is the football team that has represented Germany in international competition since 1908. It is governed by the German Football Association , which was founded in 1900....

 and the Korean Republic
Korea Republic national football team
The Korea Republic national football team represents Korea Republic in international football and is controlled by the Korea Football Association. Korea Republic is the most successful Asian football team in the history of the FIFA World Cup having participated in eight World Cup tournaments,...

 (ρ
Spearman's rank correlation coefficient
In statistics, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient or Spearman's rho, named after Charles Spearman and often denoted by the Greek letter \rho or as r_s, is a non-parametric measure of statistical dependence between two variables. It assesses how well the relationship between two variables can...

=0.87).
Seed Country|2. FIFA World RankingsFrance '98
(33.3%)
|Avg.
Points
|Dec '04
(33.3%)
|Avg.
Points
RkPt.RkPt.RkPt.RkPt.RkPt.
1 2 31 1 32 31.7 1 32 1 32 1 32 32.0 63.7
2 9 24 6 27 26.0 8 25 8 25 9 24 24.7 50.7
3 17 9 5 28 21.7 3 30 5 28 6 27 28.3 50.0
4 7 26 2 31 29.3 12 22 19 19 16 19 20.0 49.3
5 13 20 11 22 21.3 7 26 7 26 7 26 26.0 47.3
6 1 32 28 8 16.0 2 31 2 31 5 28 30.0 46.0
7 5 28 15 18 21.3 10 24 10 23 12 22 23.0 44.3
8 6 27 18 9 15.0 5 28 3 30 4 29 29.0 44.0
9 32 8 8 25 19.3 11 23 11 22 8 25 23.3 42.7
10 4 29
0 9.7 4 29 6 27 3 30 28.7 38.3
11 30 8 4 29 22.0 22 16 22 17 29 13 15.3 37.3
12 31 8 9 24 18.7 29 12 17 20 15 20 17.3 36.0
13
0 13 20 13.3 19 19 13 21 14 21 20.3 33.7
14 3 30 23 9 16.0 20 18 23 16 20 17 17.0 33.0
15 14 19 16 17 17.7 22 17 30 12 30 12 13.7 31.3
16
0
0 0.0 6 27 4 29 2 31 29.0 29.0
17
0 21 9 6.0 17 21 9 24 10 23 22.7 28.7
18
0 19 9 6.0 17 20 27 14 21 16 16.7 22.7
19 28 8 32 8 8.0 26 14 28 13 32 11 12.7 20.7
20
0 25 8 5.3 25 15 25 15 23 15 15.0 20.3
21 20 9
0 3.0 28 13 20 18 19 18 16.3 19.3
22 26 8 29 8 8.0 45 8 35 11 28 14 11.0 19.0
23
0 24 9 6.0 37 11 39 10 37 9 10.0 16.0
24 10 23
0 7.7 41 10 46 8 47 6 8.0 15.7
25
0
0 0.0 44 9 51 7 36 10 8.7 8.7
26
0
0 0.0 60 7 57 6 40 8 7.0 7.0
27
0
0 0.0 70 5 40 9 41 7 7.0 7.0
28
0
0 0.0 82 3 58 5 49 5 4.3 4.3
29
0
0 0.0 70 6 63 4 51 3 4.3 4.3
30
0
0 0.0 78 4 77 2 50 4 3.3 3.3
31
0
0 0.0 83 2 72 3 62 1 2.0 2.0
32
0
0 0.0 94 1 89 1 56 2 1.3 1.3
Seed CountryRkPt.RkPt.|Avg.
Points
France '98
(33.3%)
|Dec '03
(33.3%)
|Nov '05
(33.3%)
1. FIFA World Cup Finals2002 FIFA World Cup seeding
2002 FIFA World Cup seeding
To calculate the seeding for the 2002 FIFA World Cup, FIFA used the FIFA World Rankings in combination with performances of national teams in the three previous World Cups...

 system which used performances of national teams in the three previous World Cups, this seeding system only used the last two.
In what would have been seen by many to be an interesting quirk, had Denmark not narrowly failed to qualify they would have been seeded at the expense of Argentina.

Progress of seeded teams

All 8 seeded teams qualified for the knockout stages of the tournament, but France
France national football team
The France national football team represents the nation of France in international football. It is fielded by the French Football Federation , the governing body of football in France, and competes as a member of UEFA, which encompasses the countries of Europe...

 and Mexico
Mexico national football team
The Mexican national football team represents Mexico in association football and is governed by the Mexican Football Federation , the governing body for football in Mexico. Mexico's home stadium is the Estadio Azteca and their head coach is José Manuel de la Torre...

 failed to win their groups, and so had to play other seeded teams in the second round. Mexico lost to Argentina
Argentina national football team
The Argentina national football team represents Argentina in association football and is controlled by the Argentine Football Association , the governing body for football in Argentina. Argentina's home stadium is Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti and their head coach is Alejandro...

, and France beat Spain
Spain national football team
The Spain national football team represents Spain in international association football and is controlled by the Royal Spanish Football Federation, the governing body for football in Spain. The current head coach is Vicente del Bosque...

, so while Spain and Mexico were eliminated earlier than the seedings would have predicted, Ukraine
Ukraine national football team
The Ukraine national football team is the national football team of Ukraine and is controlled by the Football Federation of Ukraine. After Ukrainian Independence and breakaway from the Soviet Union, they played their first match against Hungary on 29 April 1992...

 and Portugal
Portugal national football team
The Portugal national football team represents Portugal in association football and is controlled by the Portuguese Football Federation, the governing body for football in Portugal. Portugal's home ground is Estádio Nacional in Oeiras, and their head coach is Paulo Bento...

 went farther than the seedings predicted, Portugal going on to reach the semi-finals.

Criticisms

  • The formula was disregarded in deciding which European team should go in the special pot for the draw (necessary to avoid three UEFA teams in one group). Serbia and Montenegro were picked purely because they were the lowest in the FIFA World Rankings
    FIFA World Rankings
    The FIFA World Rankings is a ranking system for men's national teams in association football, currently led by Spain. The teams of the member nations of FIFA , football's world governing body, are ranked based on their game results with the most successful teams being ranked highest...

    at the time of the draw, despite the World Cup seeding formula placing Ukraine and Switzerland lower.
  • Some controversy arose when the Netherlands were left unseeded, leading some to believe that the ranking system overly penalises teams that miss out on qualification for previous World Cups.
  • Each monthly FIFA World Ranking at that time included eight years' worth of matches, so by combining the three rankings (December 2003, December 2004, and November 2005), the seeding was most heavily impacted by matches occurring in 2003.
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