United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010
Encyclopedia
The 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri occurred on November 2, 2010 alongside 36 other elections to the United States Senate
United States Senate
The United States Senate is the upper house of the bicameral legislature of the United States, and together with the United States House of Representatives comprises the United States Congress. The composition and powers of the Senate are established in Article One of the U.S. Constitution. Each...

 in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives
United States House of Representatives
The United States House of Representatives is one of the two Houses of the United States Congress, the bicameral legislature which also includes the Senate.The composition and powers of the House are established in Article One of the Constitution...

 and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on August 3, 2010. Incumbent
Incumbent
The incumbent, in politics, is the existing holder of a political office. This term is usually used in reference to elections, in which races can often be defined as being between an incumbent and non-incumbent. For example, in the 2004 United States presidential election, George W...

 Republican
Republican Party (United States)
The Republican Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Democratic Party. Founded by anti-slavery expansion activists in 1854, it is often called the GOP . The party's platform generally reflects American conservatism in the U.S...

 U.S. Senator Kit Bond
Kit Bond
Christopher Samuel "Kit" Bond is a former United States Senator from Missouri and a member of the Republican Party. First elected to the U.S. Senate in 1986, he defeated Democrat Harriett Woods by a margin of 53%-47%. He was re-elected in 1992, 1998, and 2004...

 decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Republican nominee Roy Blunt
Roy Blunt
Roy D. Blunt is the junior United States Senator from Missouri. He is a member of the Republican Party. His Senate seat was previously held by Republican Kit Bond, until his retirement....

 won the open seat.

Candidates

  • Robin Carnahan
    Robin Carnahan
    Robin Carnahan is an American politician, daughter of Missouri politicians Mel and Jean Carnahan and the current Missouri Secretary of State. She is a member of the Democratic Party and was the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010, to replace retiring Republican Sen...

    , Missouri Secretary of State
  • Richard Charles Tolbert
  • Francis Vangeli

Results

Candidates

  • Roy Blunt
    Roy Blunt
    Roy D. Blunt is the junior United States Senator from Missouri. He is a member of the Republican Party. His Senate seat was previously held by Republican Kit Bond, until his retirement....

    , U.S. Congressman
  • Davis Conway
  • Tony Laszacs
  • Hector Maldonado
  • Kristi Nichols
  • R.L. Praprotnik
  • Chuck Purgason
    Chuck Purgason
    Chuck Purgason is a Republican Missouri politician. A member of the Missouri Senate since 2004, he was an unsuccessful candidate for United States Senate in 2010 losing the Republican primary to then-U.S. Congressman Roy Blunt....

    , State Senator
  • Deborah Solomon
  • Mike Vontz

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Roy Blunt Chuck Purgason Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 48% 18% 34%
Public Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 53% 16% 31%

Results

Constitution

  • Jerry Beck
  • Joe Martellaro
  • Mike Simmons

Libertarian

  • Jonathan Dine
  • Cisse Spragins

Candidates

  • Roy Blunt
    Roy Blunt
    Roy D. Blunt is the junior United States Senator from Missouri. He is a member of the Republican Party. His Senate seat was previously held by Republican Kit Bond, until his retirement....

     (R), U.S. Congressman
  • Robin Carnahan
    Robin Carnahan
    Robin Carnahan is an American politician, daughter of Missouri politicians Mel and Jean Carnahan and the current Missouri Secretary of State. She is a member of the Democratic Party and was the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010, to replace retiring Republican Sen...

     (D), Missouri Secretary of State
  • Jerry Beck (Constitution)
  • Jonathan Dine (L)
  • Mark S. Memoly (write-in)
  • Frazier Miller
    Frazier Glenn Miller Jr.
    Frazier Glenn Miller, Jr. , commonly known as Glenn Miller, is the former leader of the defunct North Carolina-based White Patriot Party . Convicted of criminal charges related to weapons and violation of an injunction against paramilitary activity, he is a perennial candidate for public office...

     (write-in), perennial candidate
    Perennial candidate
    A perennial candidate is one who frequently runs for public office with a record of success that is infrequent, if existent at all. Perennial candidates are often either members of minority political parties or have political opinions that are not mainstream. They may run without any serious hope...

  • Jeff Wirick (write-in)
  • Richie L. Wolfe (write-in)

Campaign

Carnahan and national Democrats have heavily criticized Blunt for his support of bailouts, calling him "Bailout Blunt." Blunt has criticized her for supporting President Obama's stimulus package, the cap-and-trade energy bill
American Clean Energy and Security Act
The American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 was an energy bill in the 111th United States Congress that would have established a variant of an emissions trading plan similar to the European Union Emission Trading Scheme...

, and the health care reform bill
Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act
The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act is a United States federal statute signed into law by President Barack Obama on March 23, 2010. The law is the principal health care reform legislation of the 111th United States Congress...

.

Carnahan has been endorsed by the Kansas City Star, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch
St. Louis Post-Dispatch
The St. Louis Post-Dispatch is the major city-wide newspaper in St. Louis, Missouri. Although written to serve Greater St. Louis, the Post-Dispatch is one of the largest newspapers in the Midwestern United States, and is available and read as far west as Kansas City, Missouri, as far south as...

, and the St. Louis American
St. Louis American
The St. Louis American is a weekly newspaper serving the African-American community of St. Louis, Missouri. The first issue appeared in March 1928. In 1930 the newspaper started a "Buy Where You Can Work" campaign. Donald Suggs along with two other investors purchased majority shares in the...

.

Blunt has been endorsed by the Quincy Herald-Whig and the St. Joseph News-Press
St. Joseph News-Press
The St. Joseph News-Press is a daily morning newspaper in St. Joseph, Missouri. It is the flagship of the News-Press & Gazette Company which owns newspapers, television and radio stations and cable television systems throughout the United States.-History:...

.

Debates

  • October 14: Televised on Kansas City Public Television
    Missouri Public Service Commission
    The Missouri Public Service Commission regulates investor-owned telephone, electric, natural gas, steam, water, and sewer utilities in the state of Missouri. Manufacturers and retail dealers who sell new and used manufactured homes and modular units are also regulated by the commission.The PSC is...

     in Kansas City, Missouri
    Kansas City, Missouri
    Kansas City, Missouri is the largest city in the U.S. state of Missouri and is the anchor city of the Kansas City Metropolitan Area, the second largest metropolitan area in Missouri. It encompasses in parts of Jackson, Clay, Cass, and Platte counties...

    .
  • October 18: Missouri Press Association convention in Lake of the Ozarks State Park
    Lake of the Ozarks State Park
    Lake of the Ozarks State Park is a park on the Grand Glaize Arm of the Lake of the Ozarks and is the largest state park in Missouri.Originally owned by the United States National Park Service as part of the Recreational Demonstration Areas when the lake was built in the 1930s it was donated to the...

    .
  • October 29: Televised on KTVI
    KTVI
    KTVI, virtual channel 2, is the Fox-affiliated television station serving the St. Louis, Missouri, designated market area. The station is owned by Local TV LLC, the media arm of private equity firm Oak Hill Capital Partners, under a local marketing agreement with Tribune-owned CW affiliate KPLR...

     in St. Louis.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report
Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. The Cook Political Report is led by a staff of five...

Leans R October 25, 2010
Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst best known for his Washington-based, biweekly, self-proclaimed non-partisan political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report...

Lean R October 22, 2010
Swing State Project Leans R
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics is a political news and polling data aggregator based in Chicago, Illinois. The site's founders say their goal is to give readers "ideological diversity." They have described themselves as frustrated with what they perceive as anti-conservative, anti-Christian media bias, and...

Likely R October 25, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato’s Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online newsletter and comprehensive website in the United States that analyzes the current American political scene and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races...

Likely R October 21, 2010
CQ Politics
Congressional Quarterly
Congressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress...

Leans R October 25, 2010
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...

Safe R October 25, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Roy Blunt (R) Robin Carnahan (D) Other Undecided
KSN3/Missouri State University October 20–27, 2010 821 ± 3.8% 54% 41% 3% 2%
Mason-Dixon October 18–20, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 49% 40% 3% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 19, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 52% 43% 4% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 2010 646 ± 3.9% 46% 41% 6% 7%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 16, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 49% 43% 5% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 43% 3% 2%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 1–5, 2010 1,398 ± 2.5% 53% 40% 4% ––
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 50% 42% 5% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 52% 44% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 7, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 53% 43% 2% 2%
Rasmussen Reports August 23, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 40% 5% 4%
Public Policy Polling August 14–15, 2010 –– ± 3.73% 45% 38% 8% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 10, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 50% 43% 3% 4%
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 49% 43% 4% 4%
Mason Dixon July 19–21, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 48% 42% –– 10%
Rasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 47% 45% 2% 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 43% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 2, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 44% 4% 6%
Rasmussen Reports May 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 42% 4% 4%
Rasmussen Reports April 6, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 42% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 495 ± 4.4% 45% 41% –– 13%
Rasmussen Reports March 9, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 41% 4% 8%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 42% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports January 19, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 43% 3% 5%
YouGovPolimetrix January 6–11, 2010 500 –– 39% 43% –– 19%
Rasmussen Reports December 15, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 44% 46% 4% 6%
Public Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 763 ± 3.6% 42% 43% –– 15%
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 46% 46% 2% 5%
Momentum Analysis (D) September 19, 2009 802 ± 3.5% 45% 48% –– 7%
Democracy Corps (D) April 28–30, 2009 800 ± 3.5% 44% 53% –– 3%
Wilson Strategies (R) March 7–9, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 44% 47% –– 9%
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2009 867 ± 3.3% 44% 45% –– 11%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Robin Carnahan (D) $7,297,929 $3,658,278 $3,639,651 $0
Roy Blunt (R) $8,203,670 $4,537,049 $4,003,030 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

See also

  • United States Senate elections, 2010
  • Missouri state auditor election, 2010
    Missouri state auditor election, 2010
    The Missouri state auditor election, 2010 took place on November 2, 2010. Republican Ambassador Tom Schweich defeated incumbent Democratic State Auditor Susan Montee. This is only the third time in the last four decades that a sitting auditor in Missouri has been unseated...

  • Missouri Senate elections, 2010
    Missouri Senate elections, 2010
    The 2010 Missouri Senate elections were held on November 2, 2010. Voters in the 12 even-numbered districts of the Missouri Senate voted for their representatives. Other elections were also held on November 2...


External links

  • Elections from the Missouri Secretary of State
  • U.S. Congress candidates for Missouri at Project Vote Smart
    Project Vote Smart
    Project Vote Smart is a non-profit, non-partisan research organization that collects and distributes information on candidates for public office in the United States...

  • Missouri U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
  • Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
    Open Secrets
    Open Secrets is a book of short stories by Alice Munro published by McClelland and Stewart in 1994. It was nominated for the 1994 Governor General's Award for English Fiction.-Stories:* "Carried Away"* "A Real Life"...

  • 2010 Missouri Senate General Election: Roy Blunt (R) vs Robin Carnahan (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • Election 2010: Missouri Senate from Rasmussen Reports
    Rasmussen Reports
    Rasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...

  • 2010 Missouri Senate - Blunt vs. Carnahan from Real Clear Politics
  • 2010 Missouri Senate Race from CQ Politics
    Congressional Quarterly
    Congressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress...

  • Race profile from The New York Times
    The New York Times
    The New York Times is an American daily newspaper founded and continuously published in New York City since 1851. The New York Times has won 106 Pulitzer Prizes, the most of any news organization...

  • News coverage from The Midwest Democracy Project at The Kansas City Star
    The Kansas City Star
    The Kansas City Star is a McClatchy newspaper based in Kansas City, Missouri, in the United States. Published since 1880, the paper is the recipient of eight Pulitzer Prizes...

  • News coverage at the St. Louis Post-Dispatch
    St. Louis Post-Dispatch
    The St. Louis Post-Dispatch is the major city-wide newspaper in St. Louis, Missouri. Although written to serve Greater St. Louis, the Post-Dispatch is one of the largest newspapers in the Midwestern United States, and is available and read as far west as Kansas City, Missouri, as far south as...


Official campaign websites
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